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Forecast for the Salt Lake Area Mountains

Nikki Champion
Issued by Nikki Champion on
Friday morning, February 25, 2022
Areas of CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger exist on steep mid and upper elevation slopes facing west through north through east where fresh wind drifts and new snow sit atop of the weak faceted snow. With every new snowfall event, and bump in windspeeds the likelihood of triggering an avalanche within the weak faceted snow increases. These types of avalanches are what we call unmanageable as you can trigger them from a distance. These are prime accident conditions.
A MODERATE danger exists for all other freshly wind-loaded slopes.

The remaining aspects at all lower elevations have a LOW danger.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements
Springtime in the mountains is one of the best times of the year. Longer days and lots of sunshine bring on great corn riding, bigger objectives, and changing avalanche problems. Join us as we discuss how to spot bulls-eye clues indicating rising avalanche danger, how to plan your route around the sun and its impact on the snow surface, pertinent gear to add to the pack specific to springtime travel, and much more. Note; the event will be outside on the Lone Pine patio, please dress accordingly.
Please join us for a KBYG presentation hosted by KUHL on March 3rd from 6:30 - 8:00 PM.
Weather and Snow
This morning, skies are overcast and it is lightly snowing. The Central Wasatch picked up another 1-4" of new snow overnight. Mountain temperatures are hovering below 0°F this morning, with upper elevation ridgeline temperatures sitting near -6 °F. The westerly winds have begun to pick up this morning. Winds are currently blowing 15-25 mph with gusts near 45 mph at the highest ridgelines.
Today, skies will remain overcast with occasional snow showers throughout the day. The Central Wasatch could pick up 2-5" of new snow by this afternoon. Temperatures will rise into the low teens °F, and the westerly winds will remain elevated this morning before diminishing into the afternoon. Winds will blow 5-15 mph at mid-elevations, and 15-25 mph at upper elevations. The highest gusts at upper elevation ridgelines could reach 45 mph.

The weather is looking clear and warm for the weekend.
Recent Avalanches
Yesterday, there were two new avalanches reported from the backcountry. One skier triggered a soft slab on the South Face of Superior at 11,000' within the new snow. The avalanche was 5" deep, 30' wide, and ran 100' feet. The same party triggered a small soft slab on the other side of Little Superior on a NE Aspect. Find full observation HERE.
Throughout the week, we have had four avalanches reported in the backcountry that failed on the new snow/old snow interface. In other words, we have *just* enough new snow and *just* enough wind to start to develop a slab over our widely advertised Jan/Feb drought layer. Since Tuesday we've only added more snow and more wind.
Neffs Canyon: 7400' NW facing. A skier cut the slope and triggered a 10" deep and 30' wide pocket.
Kessler Peak of BCC: 9600' NE facing. A skier collapsed the slope and triggered a 12" deep and 20' wide pocket while ascending the Patterson ridge and was nearly caught in the slide (1st photo)
Broads Fork of BCC: 9400' NE facing A skier remotely triggered a 10" deep and 40' wide from 15' away
Mill B South of BCC: 8500' East facing A skier unintentionally triggered an 18" deep and 20' wide pocket in steep rocky terrain

Greg Gagne's Week in Review is published and can be found HERE.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
These are prime conditions for backcountry accidents and close calls...
Over the past few days, we have begun seeing soft slab avalanches failing on a persistent weak layer (the Jan/Feb drought layer of facets) on the Northern end of the compass. With every bump in wind speed and/or new snowfall event added to our fragile snowpack, we continue to wait for the weak facets from the past two months to become unglued. While we have yet to see things become fully unglued, we have begun seeing avalanches failing 10-18" down, within that layer, and know that human triggered avalanches will continue to be possible today.
Given the new snowfall, elevated winds, and poor snowpack structure I would avoid any west through north through east facing terrain steeper than 30 degrees, with any steep terrain above or attached to it. Today is not the day to push it. This persistent weak layer is not going anywhere fast, and these avalanches will be tricky, unusual, dangerous, and widely variable....as the snowpack has become widely variable over the past two months.
The challenging part right now is figuring out where a more cohesive slab sits atop of the weak faceted grains. In areas that have not received enough wind, or enough snow there still may not be a slab formed. As we continue to add more snow, and more wind, this slab is only becoming more cohesive and widespread increasing the likelihood of triggered a large avalanche. Currently, with so much spatial variability, the best way to handle it is avoidance.

The good news: With this past week's new snowfall, the riding conditions have greatly improved on all aspects. So if you are going out today, slope angle and aspect are going to be the name of the game.
Avalanche Problem #2
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The new low-density snow combined with a few days of elevated winds will have created some soft slabs of wind drifted snow at upper elevations, and even some mid-elevation terrain features such as sub-ridges and gullies. These wind slabs will be shallow and overall small in size, but these new wind drifts are sitting atop weak faceted snow or a firm snow surface, which will make them very sensitive and cause them to run far and fast. Look for any obvious signs of wind drifted snow, such as hollow sounding or pillow-shaped snow, and avoid those slopes.
Elevated winds can deposit snow on all aspects but give west through north through east extra caution, as triggering an avalanche that initially fails in the wind-drifted snow is most suspect to step down deeper and fail into the weak faceted snow from January and February.

In any wind-sheltered areas, some new soft snow may still be found. In those areas, you may find still find some lingering fast-running sluffs or sensitive storm slabs. Look for signs of new snow instabilities such as cracking, and collapsing.
General Announcements
Who's up for some free avalanche training? Get a refresher, become better prepared for an upcoming avalanche class, or just boost your skills. Go to https://learn.kbyg.org/ and scroll down to Step 2 for a series of interactive online avalanche courses produced by the UAC.
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.