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Forecast for the Salt Lake Area Mountains

Trent Meisenheimer
Issued by Trent Meisenheimer on
Sunday morning, January 30, 2022
A LOW avalanche danger exists as we generally have safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features. Natural and human-triggered avalanches are unlikely.
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Weather and Snow
Clear skies and light winds will lead to another beautiful day for the Wasatch Range. Mountain temperatures currently range 25°-32° F with winds blowing from the northwest at 5-10 mph. Expect plenty of sunshine today, with temperatures climbing into the 30's and 40's °F.
I wish I had better news and something exciting to look at in the weather. We indeed set up a more progressive pattern starting tonight with an increase in southerly winds (blowing 15-25 mph) that will lead to partly cloudy skies, no new snow, and colder temperatures. Each storm that rolls through is moisture-starved, and if we're lucky, we will get a few inches by the weekend.
It's been a dry January as the storms and snow stopped back on the 9th when high-pressure became the dominant weather feature. That was followed by 12 days of high pressure (Sunny days with cold and clear nights). On the 21st, we squeaked out 3.5" of snow followed by three more days of high pressure with another 1" of snow on the 25th, followed by another five days of high pressure, with another one on tap for today.
According to the Collins Study Plot, we will close out the month of January with 29.5" of snow with 4.77" water. Historically, the water number isn't that bad as the first few storms of the month were very wet. However, in terms of snowfall, it's one of the worst Januarys for the Collins Snow Plot that dates back to 1980.
Throughout January, we've seen a total of 20 days of high pressure (that's a lot of cold and clear nights). This high pressure has caused our snow surface to grow weak and faceted during this dry spell (Cody Hughes Video). It's not an issue now, and we will have to see how the weather plays out before we are too worried. But, I would keep this in mind as we move into February. Once it snows here in the Wasatch, we will likely have very dangerous conditions once again.

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Recent Avalanches
None. You can find all observations HERE.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Normal Caution: It is used by forecasters when the avalanche conditions are generally safe, and there is no predominate avalanche problem. Any avalanche type is possible, but the most common would be windslab, loose wet, and dry loose avalanches, and they are expected to be small.
In isolated areas you may find:
- Pockets of wind drifted snow at the mid and upper elevations. Although drifts will be shallow (up to 6") and not very wide, wind drifts may be sensitive if they have formed on top of weaker snow underneath.
- Sluffing of dry snow on steep northerly aspects. Although these sluffs won't entrain much snow, getting caught in one could be serious in consequential terrain.
- Wet loose sluffs on the sunny aspects. Watch for rollerballs and pinwheels as precursors to any wet loose sluffing with direct sun and daytime heating.
General Announcements
Who's up for some free avalanche training? Get a refresher, become better prepared for an upcoming avalanche class, or just boost your skills. Go to https://learn.kbyg.org/ and scroll down to Step 2 for a series of interactive online avalanche courses produced by the UAC.
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.