With a warmer start to the day, the snow’s overnight night refreeze could be short lived today. It’s going to be a balance between wind, clouds and sun. Wind and clouds keep the snow cool. But if the sun comes out in full force where you are, the snow surface will rapidly heat and wet loose sluffs will become easy to trigger. Once the snow becomes wet and loose, it’s time to get off of and out from under steep slopes, and move to a cooler aspect or lower angle terrain.

I've spent time this morning looking at this loop - a model and forecasting tool - of what they think the cloud cover will look like. You need to subtract 6 hours from the time to get our current Mountain Daylight time. Perhaps thicker clouds in the Ogden and Logan area mountains, with more breaks to the south?

The avalanche hazard is generally Low and avalanches are unlikely. But travel in avalanche terrain is never a completely safe game, so watch for the following issues on isolated features:

Wind slabs: As yesterday’s Cottonwood avalanches indicate, there are places where wind drifts could be triggered, perhaps by a person – northerly and easterly facing slopes in the highest alpine terrain are the most suspect. These drifts would be failing on a graupel layer - so look for this layering by digging down a foot or so, and search for a layer of loose graupel beneath the surface snow or wind drifts.

Persistent Deep Slab - If you’re wondering what happened to the Deep Slab avalanche problem, catch up with Mark’s great video summary of the current state of the snowpack below. While this was made in the Salt Lake area mountians, it still is relavant to the Ogden area moutains. The issue and the weak layers are not gone, rather they are currently dormant and avalanching on these deeper weak layers is unlikely.