Forecast for the Uintas Area Mountains

Craig Gordon
Issued by Craig Gordon for
Tuesday, March 27, 2018

A MODERATE avalanche danger exists in mid and upper elevation terrain, particularly in the wind zone, above treeline. Deep and dangerous, human triggered dry snow avalanches are POSSIBLE on all steep wind drifted slopes, especially those facing the north half of the compass, and particularly those with an easterly component to their aspect.

LOW avalanche danger is found on most south facing terrain and wind sheltered slopes.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements

We couldn't get out on the snow without the great support from Polaris, Ski Doo, and Arctic Cat as well as KTM and Timbersled. Our local dealers make it happen. Tri-City Performance, Weller Recreation, Northstar's Ultimate Outdoors, Big Pine and Morgan Valley Polaris. We use these machines to monitor the snowpack across the state of Utah. We also use these machines to teach life-saving classes.

Weather and Snow

Yesterday's gloomy weather produced a nice reset for our mountains, delivering 4"-6" of light density snow across the range. Currently, skies are clear, temperatures in the single digits and low teens, and northwest winds blow 15-20 mph along the high ridges. Riding and turning conditions are quite good, especially on wind sheltered, shady slopes.

Above are 24 hour temperatures and snow depth near Chalk Creek along with winds and temperatures from Lofty Lake Peak. More remote Uinta weather stations are found here

A great body of recent trip reports, observations, and snow data here.

Recent Avalanches

No new avy activity since Saturday, but it was quite active towards the end of last week.

Saturday on Double Hill, a man riding with his family triggered a wind slab which then pulled out a deeper avalanche that broke to the ground. He was able to get off the moving piece of snow, but the debris ran farther than expected, coming within 5 feet of where his son was parked. A very close call indeed and this was a bullet dodged that fortunately, had a happy ending.


Friday in Upper Moffit Basin, Dave and Jason triggered this, tree snapping monster. I'll let them describe-

"Large slide triggered by kicking a large cornice. Cornice triggered a wind slab when it hit the slope below, which then triggered a persistent slab in an area that had previously slide. Slide then propagated out across the slope. Total width ended up being approximately 800 feet wide, with an average crown depth of 4 feet. Ran approximately 500 vertical, taking out several trees on the way. This is an area that had shown a relatively strong, but highly variable snowpack. Up to this point, there has not been a connected slab. However, warming and wind loading created a more connected slab."

More details along with a full list of recent avalanches is found here.

Ad
Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

I think most of our wind slab issues have settled out, but the Uinta's are a big place and if you were hunting for a shallow, fresh drift you could find it. Mostly prominent on the leeward side of upper elevation ridges, there might be a cross-loaded pocket around a terrain feature like a chute or gully wall. In any case, today you'll want to look for and avoid fat, rounded pieces of snow, especially if they sound and feel hollow like a drum. Once triggered, today's wind slabs have the potential to break deeper and wider than you might expect.

Avalanche Problem #2
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Deep slabs... they're tricky, they're dangerous, they're unpredictable, and now this notoriously deceptive avalanche dragon has come alive on the eastern front.

Here's what I know about this type of avalanche problem-

Our usual observations regarding snow stability often give us false stability or green light feedback. That means tracks on the slope, cornice drops, or slope cuts are unreliable methods of testing the slope. In fact, this strong, cohesive slab often allows us to get well out onto the slope before it fails and now the snow is breaking to the ground taking out the entire seasons snowpack. These avalanches are killers and as we've seen in the past few days, recently triggered slides are stacking up huge piles of body breaking debris.

So how do you manage an unmanageable avalanche problem? Well... we simply avoid it. Steep, mid and upper elevation terrain facing the north half of the compass are prime suspects as are slopes that already avalanched this season. So here's the exit strategy... if you're looking for soft snow and safe riding, simply tone down your slope angles and avoid terrain with steep slopes hanging above you.



The natural slide in the images above is similar to what Dave and Jason triggered Friday morning. This extremely connected piece of snow broke to the dirt early Friday morning and stacked up a huge piles of body snapping debris... unsurviveable if you were on the receiving end.

Additional Information

It'll be a stunning day in the mountains with mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and high temperatures climbing into the low 30's. Overnight lows dip into the 20's and Wednesday brings with it warmer temperatures and increasing afternoon winds.

General Announcements

The information in this advisory expires 24 hours after the date and time posted, but will be updated by 7:00 AM Wednesday March 28th, 2018.

If you're getting out and about, please let me know what you're seeing especially if you see or trigger and avalanche. I can be reached at [email protected] or 801-231-2170

It's also a good time to set up one of our very popular avalanche awareness classes. Reach out to me and I'll make it happen.

This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.