Forecast for the Uintas Area Mountains

Craig Gordon
Issued by Craig Gordon on
Thursday morning, January 2, 2025
The snowpack might feel solid and bomber underneath us, but we need to think about not only the snow we're riding in, but also the snow we're riding on. Right now the snowpack remains deceptively dangerous and the setup is nothing to mess around with-
Overnight winds coupled with yet another shot of dense, heavy snow delivering a one-two punch and the avy danger is HIGH. We might not be seeing natural avalanches today, but HUMAN triggered avalanches are VERY LIKELY, particularly on steep, leeward slopes at and above treeline, and especially in the wind zone in terrain with an easterly component to its aspect. Today’s avalanches will break deeper and wider than you might expect and they'll pack a powerful, season ending, machine vaporizing punch.
Mid and upper elevation terrain facing the south half of the compass offers MODERATE avy danger. While a bit more predictable, human triggered avalanches are still POSSIBLE on steep wind drifted slopes.
Generally LOW avalanche danger exists in terrain facing the south half of the compass at lower elevations near the trailheads. In fact, I've been finding fantastic riding in big, wide open meadows and low-angle slopes not surrounded by or connected to nearby steep terrain or overhead hazard... done, done, and done.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements
We are deeply saddened to confirm two avalanche fatalities. The first involved a 38 year old man in Main Porter Fork of Mill Creek Canyon who went missing on Saturday. The second avalanche fatality occurred Tuesday and involved a 54 year old man off Davenport Hill into Silver Fork of BCC. Both individuals were traveling alone in the backcountry. Please know, our hearts are heavy for the family and friends of these gentlemen.
Many thanks to those who responded to these accidents: search and rescue teams from AirMed, LifeFlight, Utah Dept Public Safety, Utah Department of Transportation, Salt Lake County Search and Rescue, Wasatch Backcountry Rescue, Alta Ski Area, and members of the Utah Avalanche Center.
Weather and Snow
Nowcast- While some were sleeping, some were working... out (or so I hear:), yet kept a watchful eye on a quick hitting storm sliding through the region. Delivering 4" of snow and .50" H2O, it's a moist, warm system and temperatures start their day in the low to mid 20's. Westerly winds blowing in the 40's and 50's are the morning buzz-kill. But don't let your heart be troubled... riding and turning conditions continue to improve as even more snow stacks on top of the dense, heavy Christmas storm. With a mostly supportable base underfoot, riding and turning conditions turned from zero to hero... and who doesn't like a hero?
Forecast- Look for mostly cloudy skies and an additional 3"-5" of snow stacking up for the morning commute. Temperatures are gonna feel unseasonably mild with highs climbing into the low 30's and overnight lows dipping into the mid 20's. Westerly winds will be obnoxious, blowing in the 30's and 40's near the high peaks.
Futurecast- High pressure briefly moves in late tonight into Friday, delivering a sunny, warm day to wrap up the work week. But clear skies are short-lived as yet another fast moving storm system makes its way through the area Saturday into early Sunday. Not a particularly strong storm, but a quick reset with a couple inches of snow. The active pattern continues into the early part of the upcoming week, though with storminess developing on the right coast, we might be drying out on the left coast for a minute or two.
Recent Avalanches
Above is an image of a very well-connected avalanche on Currant Creek Peak that slid during the New Years Eve storm cycle. Breaking 6-8 feet deep and 1000 feet plus feet wide, this is the type of avalanche dragon we're dealing with today.
From Strawberry Rez to Evanston, an aerial view of the postage stamp revealed the affirmation that 2025 got the party started early and went out with a bang. Of note, a widespread avy cycle in the likely suspects, but also unsuspecting slopes like treed terrain and mid slope pockets, particularly on the south half of the range which tipped the scales with 3" SWE.
No shortage of natural avalanche activity, human triggered avalanches, and even a close call. Yup, avalanche activity has been widespread across the range. Nearly all avalanches are failing on old, faceted snow buried up to 4’-6' deep on slopes facing the north half of the compass. Recent avalanches are breaking hundreds of feet wide and annihilating the entire season's snowpack.
Huge thanks to everyone for helping us out by providing very timely observations, insight, and honesty. Remember... your intel helps save lives, so please keep the info rollin' in! All those obs and trip reports along with info from neighboring Utah forecast zones are found here.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Joey and Shaun stomped around the Duchesne Ridge area yesterday and found the snowpack slightly less rowdy and not quite as sensitive as a day or two ago. However, their Extended Column snowpit stability tests revealed a score of 14 out of 30, suggesting there's still alot of stored energy in the slab. So what does all this avalanche geek-speak mean?
While the sensitivity of today's avalanches might've calmed down slightly, the consequence remain severe. At all elevations on the north half of the compass, we’re hearing about and seeing avalanches running fast and far, breaking into faceted snow created during hte December dry spell. Here's where it gets tricky... terrain that already avalanched during last weekends storm doesn't present that fresh, recent avalanche look or showroom smell. In fact, most of the evidence of recent avalanche activity is now blown back in and camouflaged by fresh snow. Problem is... any slope that didn't avalanche, waits for us to roll along and knock the legs out from underneath or even from an adjacent slope. If you're on the receiving end, today's avalanches are gonna meaty, pack a devastating punch and will instantly ruin your day, as well as those waiting for you at home.
Avalanche Problem #2
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
A 24 hour data dump from Windy Peak (10, 662') shows recent wind trends near the high peaks.
A couple inches of snow sidle up with strong winds to whip up a fresh batch of drifts that'll react to our additional weight. Today's shallow, stiff slabs might be camouflaged with fresh snow, making them hardee to detect. My strategy is... I'm simply avoiding fat rounded slopes, especially if they sound hollow like a drum. And remember, fresh wind drifts aren't always a manageable avalanche problem. Once triggered, today's drifts can get out of hand quickly and break into deeper, faceted layers in the snowpack.
Additional Information
The Mill Hollow snow site is up and running! Current data is found here.
General Announcements
The Uinta weather station network was upgraded this summer and all that real-time info is found here. Simply click on the "Western Uinta" tab and then the "Weather Stations" tab to find all your weather needs.
We are always looking for snow and avalanche observations or just general riding conditions. So... if you see something, say something. You can reach our team directly by contacting: Craig at [email protected], 801-231-2170, or Andrew at [email protected], or 860-460-8142.
General Information
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This forecast was issued on Thursday, January 2nd at 04:00AM and expires 24 hours after it was issued. We will update the forecast by 0700 AM tomorrow. But, in the meantime reach out to us with questions, or if you see anything in your travels.