Forecast for the Uintas Area Mountains

Craig Gordon
Issued by Craig Gordon on
Thursday morning, January 1, 2026

Today, MODERATE avalanche danger exists and human triggered avalanches are POSSIBLE, but for two distinctly different avalanche dragons helping ring in the New Year. First, the predictable... as the storm materializes look for and avoid fresh drifts on steep, mid and upper elevation slopes, especially those facing the north half of the compass. Second, the rough, rowdy, and unpredictable... avalanches breaking deeper and wider than you might expect, especially on polar slopes where dense hard snow rests on weak, early season facets. Steep, rocky slopes, particularly those in the windzone above treeline are primetime suspects.

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Moderate
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Weather and Snow

Nowcast - The warm before the storm and a Happy New Year! Clouds drift in from the southwest, temperatures hover near freezing °F, and winds blowing from the south register in the 20-25 mph range near the high peaks. Yup... storminess is on the doorstep.

Forecast - A warm, moist system slips into the Uinta zone for New Years Day, delivering a shallow, but welcome, upper elevation reset for the eastern front. Look for snow developing by about mid morning, but it could be more wet than white at the trailheads as rain/snow levels fluctuate during the day. Winds blowing from the south and southwest bump into the 30's near the peaks with temperatures climbing into the mid 30's °F. Despite the tropical nature of todays storm, I think we stack up 4 inches of dense, heavy snow by dinnertime.

Futurecast - Colder air filters into the region late tonight into Friday morning and that'll usher in a nice shot of snow... I bet an additional 6 inches of low density snow just in time for the morning trailhead commute. Winds veer to the northwest and more winter-like temperatures in the upper 20's are on tap . Storm totals in the 10-12 inch range with just over an inch of H20 seems reasonable to wrap up the workweek. A break in the action for Saturday with more storms in the queue to kick off the first full week of 2026.

Travel Conditions - Snow depths range from 2-4 feet across the range and the Uinta's are getting whiter. The Christmas Eve raincrust is keeping you off the ground, delivering a mostly supportable base. Solar slopes have taken on heat, but mid and upper elevation polars are still cold and firing. Four-wheeled vehicle access to Mirror Lake Highway (HW150) is shut down, while SR-35 (Wolf Creek Pass) remains open.

New Years Eve was stunning. Brilliant sunshine, hardly a breath of wind, and yeah... a shallow cream topper on a turn anywhere kinda base :)

Recent Avalanches

No new avalanche activity to report, but Weston D was in the Wolf Creek hood on Tuesday and noted shooting cracks out in front of his machine along with a handful of audible collapses or whumphs.

Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

On Sunday, a solo rider triggered this persistent slab avalanche from below and was caught, carried, but walked away clean -- Check it out, more deets here.

Here's the wind up... it's not the snow we're riding in that's the problem, it's the snow we're riding on. Remember, early season snow turned persistent weak, sugary layer now lurks 2-4 feet beneath a supportable, cohesive slab, and now much of our pack is tied together by a Christmas Eve rain crust with seemingly harmless, low density snow on top. Now the pitch... adding a curve ball to the mix, the snowpack feels bomber under our skis, board, or sled but it's not. In fact, all we need to do is find a shallow spot, like around a bush or rock where we can punch through the slab, irritate the weak layer and collapse the slope, and now the entire roof is crashing down on us. See this setup for yourself as the proof is in the structural powder-pudding recipe. Pull out your shovel or trench your track down and you'll for sure see a dense, strong slab sitting above weak, old, faceted snow near the ground.

I'm taking Andy's advice from his forecast earlier this week and paying particular attention to, and avoiding heavily wind-loaded slopes that have a very dense and supportable slab sitting atop, early season, weak layers. Persistent slab's are tricky and aren't manageable with ski or side-hill sled cuts. Instead, avoidance is the go-to tool.

JC and I stomped around Campbell Hollow yesterday and found an intriguing snowpack... weak, faceted snow near the ground is still the main player.

Avalanche Problem #2
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

It doesn't feel like winds get too out of hand, perhaps just strong enough to whip up a fresh round of predictable drifts on the leeward side of ridges and around terrain features like chutes and gullies. Wind drifts become more widespread and sensitive to our additional weight later in the day as today's storm gels together.

Additional Information

This fleet can't be beat! Huge thanks to Ski-Doo in partnership with Karl Malone's Plaza Cycle, for arranging our sled, loaner program. This vital state-wide partnership gets sleds into the hands of UAC forecasters, allowing us to see more terrain, gather more snowpack information, and issue more accurate avalanche forecasts. Ultimately, this program helps us save lives!

General Announcements

We have some upcoming classes and events that we would be stoked to see you at -- Please reach out with any questions and check out below for more details!

We are always looking for snow and avalanche observations or just general riding conditions. Reach out to us with questions, concerns, or if you see anything in your travels! Contact us directly through the info below:

This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions, and local variations always occur. This forecast was issued on Thursday, January 1st at 0400 AM and expires 24 hours after it was issued. We'll update this information by 07:00 AM tomorrow.