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Forecast for the Uintas Area Mountains

Craig Gordon
Issued by Craig Gordon on
Tuesday morning, March 11, 2025
We have two different avalanche dragons today with two distinct personalities... one rowdy and unpredictable, the other slightly more straight-forward-
For today, MODERATE avalanche danger is found on upper elevation slopes facing the north half of the compass. Becoming pockety and more difficult to initiate, human-triggered persistent slab avalanches breaking deeper and wider than we might expect are still POSSIBLE. Steep, rocky terrain with a shallow snowpack fits the bill for slopes to avoid. While the snow feels solid under our feet, remember... unusually weak snow still lingers in the snowpack on upper elevation, shady slopes.
In addition, steep, upper elevation slopes, especially those in the windzone, offer MODERATE avalanche danger where it's POSSIBLE to trigger fresh wind-drifts on the leeward side of ridges, particularly those with an easterly component to their aspect.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
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Special Announcements
  • We come to you with heavy hearts and great sadness this morning to confirm an avalanche accident on Friday, March 7th near Hoyt Peak, involving 51 year old Micheal Janulaitis from Marion, Utah. Micheal used a snowbike to access the terrain, but was caught, carried, and killed in an avalanche while skiing a steep, northeast facing run on Hoyt Peak.
    Huge thanks to the Department of Public Safety, Park City Mountain Resort and Canyons Village Snow Safety and Ski Patrol teams, along with Wasatch Backcountry Rescue for the hard work recovering Micheal and returning him to his family. Micheal was a friend of Utah Avy and we feel privileged for the time we got to spend together. This is a tremendous loss for our backcountry family and we will miss him deeply. We are compiling accident details and a preliminary report is available here.
  • Did you know.... March kicks off our Spring Campaign? Well, if everyone in Utah’s backcountry community donates the cost of something they regularly enjoy on an adventure—like a dawn patrol burrito, we could fund not just one but two forecasters for the entire season! More information here.
Weather and Snow
Nowcast- With a nearly full, Worm Moon overhead, high clouds drift into the region, keeping a lid on overnight temperatures which start their day in the mid and upper 20's. For the past 24 hours, southwest winds have been busy at work, blowing in the 20's and 30's along the ridges, gusting in the 50's near the high peaks.
Forecast- Look for partly cloudy skies with temperatures climbing into the 40's, while overnight lows dip into the upper 20's. Southwest winds blowing in the 30's and 40's are gonna be obnoxious in the high country.
Futurecast- The inside line from our good friends at Salt Lake's National Weather Service... the next storm remains on track for Thursday into Friday. Overall, guidance looks to be trending a bit faster with the system, both with the timing of the front (looking more like Thursday afternoon/evening now) and with the end of the precipitation. My take... I still think we're in the queue for a nice reset... perhaps a foot of snow :)
Travel & Riding Conditions- Cold snow is a limited commodity, but I suspect a swath or two remains on upper elevation polars. Flip to the other half of the compass and gravitate to solars where I bet a maturing crop o' corn awaits morning harvesting on mid elevation sunny slopes.
Utah Avy's fearless leader, Paige Pagnucco, joined us for a North Slope field day and found stellar turning conditions in between the sun and the shade on mid and upper-elevation, wind sheltered slopes.
Recent Avalanches
The last significant Uinta avalanche reported was on Friday, March 7th when a solo skier triggered a fatal, medium-sized persistent slab avalanche and took a ride down a nasty, consequence filled avalanche path. This avalanche was triggered in a thin, steep portion of the slope and failed up to 4' deep on a thin layer of faceted snow. Yes, the likelihood, or chances of triggering an avalanche with these characteristics are diminishing, but the consequences are devastaing.
Backcountry guide and observer extraordinaire, John Mletschnig, captured this image of Double Hill where you can see debris on the slope from a slide triggered during the height of last weeks storm. More on John's travels here.
Ad
Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
It feels like spring, but in some terrain on the eastern front, the snowpack has remained thin and sugary in places... think, slopes that have avalanched several times this year or what we call repeaters. Here's the problem... recent storm snow blanketed the range with a thick coat of white paint and everything looks uniform and feels super solid under our skis, board, or sled. However, if you trench down, you'll still find weak, sugary facets beneath the surface, now buried between 1' and 3’ deep and that's the devious culprit behind recent persistent slab avalanches.
As I begin to set my sights on bigger terrain this spring I'm keepin' it tight and simply avoiding shallower areas of the snowpack like steep, rocky terrain where I'm more likely to trigger an avalanche into an old persistent weak layer. These shallow areas are between 1' and 3’ deep, and sometimes just pulling out my probe and getting a feel for snow depths is helpful, steering me away from suspect areas.
When I step out, I make sure the slopes I'm choosing don't have any overhead hazard, and offer no consequences like trees, cliff bands, or gullies in the runout below. In addition, I'm exposing only one person at a time to potential hazard.
Above, a northeast slope around Anchor Lake hovering right around 11,000', is an example of a repeater slope... meaning it's avalanched several times and left behind a shallow, weak snowpack. These areas, steep and rocky, are where you are most likely to trigger today's persistent slab avalanche.
Avalanche Problem #2
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Above, 24 hour data dump from Windy Peak (10,661')
Most solar slopes are baked and there's little snow available to blow around. However, the Uinta's are a ginormous range and there are plenty of terrain features that accelerate wind, forming drifts on the leeward side of ridges, along with terrain features like chutes and gullies. You know the program... keep an eye out for and avoid rounded pillows and stiff, textured drifts that sound hollow like a drum.
It’s no joke that 40% of us are killed by trauma in avalanche accidents, meaning we’re dead from slamming into a stump, rock, or tree on the ride down, before we’re even buried by the avalanche we just triggered. As we step out, whether it is into the high-country, or just moving to a bigger slope, keep in mind the severity of the terrain you're entering and consider the consequences of triggering even a small avalanche that unexpectedly knocks me off our feet.
Additional Information
From trailhead signs to transceiver training parks, we are always trying to help keep our community styled at the Uinta trailheads. It is no walk on the skin track to keep this signage and equipment up and running all season long. If you see one of our signs in rough shape, or our transceiver parks buried, reach out to us and let us know or feel free to dust off a solar panel and show it a little love. It is a community effort and we couldnt do it without you!
General Announcements
We are always looking for snow and avalanche observations or just general riding conditions. In the meantime reach out to us with questions, concerns, or if you see anything in your travels! Contact us directly through the info below:
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This forecast was issued on Tuesday, March 11th at 03:30 AM and expires 24 hours after it was issued.