Forecast for the Uintas Area Mountains

Craig Gordon
Issued by Craig Gordon for
Monday, February 14, 2022
One more day of solid Green Light conditions blanket the danger rose, suggesting human triggered avalanches are unlikely on all aspects and elevations. So... if you're looking for LOW avalanche danger you came to the right place. Indeed, most terrain is good to go... but if you're stepping into a big, committing line take a second or two and think about the consequences of triggering even a small avalanche that could knock you off your feet and instantly ruin your day.
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Weather and Snow
NOWCAST-
A big, bright, beautiful Snow Moon illuminates on our mountains this morning as one more day of high pressure delivers cloudless skies. Overnight, winds shifted to the west and southwest, but still remain rather well-behaved, blowing in the teens and low 20's even along the high peaks. In between old tracks, wind funk, and varying degrees of supportable suncrusts, a few patches of soft snow still exist on mid elevation, sheltered slopes.
FORECAST-
The last of a long string of warm sunny days is on tap with high temperatures soaring into the 40's. Clouds increase and southerly winds bump into the 30's as the day wares on.
FUTURECAST-
A cold front slides through the area right around sunrise Tuesday, quickly delivering 2"-4" of snow and much colder daytime high temperatures which only climb into the mid 20's. Northwest winds blowing in the 30's along the ridges add a bite to the air. A trailing system clips the area late Wednesday, delivering an additional dusting of snow before high pressure rounds out the work week.

Chad took his Brackpack for a super, Super Bowl tour near Soapstone and found a variety of snow surface conditions. His very informative and most excellent trip report is found HERE.
Trip reports and current state of the snowpack observations are found HERE.

Looking for real-time temps, snow, or wind?
Click HERE and then on the "western Uinta" tab for western Uinta specific, weather station network.
Recent Avalanches
No significant avalanche activity to report

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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
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Description
Since mountain travel always offers some hazard, it's worth considering ways to limit exposure to that threat. In terms of avalanches... northwest winds have been busy at work the past few days which means there could be a rogue wind drift or two that reacts to our additional weight. Cross-loaded chutes and gullies are the usual suspects, where drifts are generally shallow, but may be large enough to knock us off our feet. In addition, remember that big, open terrain above treeline offers very hard, wind pressed snow and most south facing slopes have a stout ice crust on them. The main hazard on these slopes for skis, boards, or a sled is an uncontrollable slide for life... and that means- sliding downhill and not being able to stop.
On Saturday, Ted and I found great riding conditions on very weak surface snow in wind sheltered, shady terrain. I describe the setup in the viddy above.
Additional Information
Not necessarily breaking news, just a reminder there's still soft snow in wind sheltered terrain where you can lay down some Snow Van Gogh :)
Your observations are important, so please let me know what you're seeing... click HERE and contribute to this amazing community based program
General Announcements
The information in this forecast expires 24 hours after the day and time posted, but will be updated by 07:00 Tuesday, February 15th.
Before it gets too crazy, now is the time to book an avalanche awareness presentation for your group, club, or posse. You can reach me directly at 801-231-2170 or [email protected]
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.