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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Issued by Brett Kobernik for Saturday, April 23, 2022
Special Announcements
Avalanche forecasts for the Manti Skyline will be intermittent and storm dependent through the rest of April.
Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
A large storm system is moving through our area which dropped about 6 inches of new snow Friday night. It's been windy with this event with strong speeds from the southwest. Temperatures dropped to around 20˚F overnight. My best guess at snow conditions is 6 inches of medium density wind blown cold powder.
Mountain Weather
The brunt of the storm system has moved through but some clouds and chances for snow remain through Sunday. We'll see clouds today with perhaps a few breaks. Temperatures will get into the low 30s. Wind will shift to the northwest and remain moderate to strong in speed. We should see a small shot of snow this afternoon with a couple of inches possible. Some clouds will linger Sunday with the northwest wind tapering off. Temperatures will again be in the low 30s. There's one last chance for light snow Sunday evening.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
There's not all that much new snow so avalanche conditions remain fairly calm. The wind blown snow is the biggest concern. The most likely places someone might trigger a small avalanche today would be just under the higher ridgelines on very steep slopes that face north through southeast.
It's difficult to say at this time if the new wind blown snow is sensitive to the weight of a person. The best approach is to get out and find small steep test slopes that have no consequences if they avalanche. Side-hill or ski-cut these small test slopes to see if you can initiate a crack. Do this numerous times on different test slopes to get a feel for how well the new snow is bonded to the old snow.
Overall, I'm not anticipating very dangerous avalanche conditions. Just keep in mind that you might trigger a small slab avalanche if you're poking around just below the ridgelines on steep slopes.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.