Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik for
Saturday, March 26, 2022
A CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger exists on steep slopes above 9500' that face west, north and east.
Human triggered avalanches breaking 3 feet deep in these locations are likely.
Warm temperatures could cause natural avalanches breaking into the buried weak snow from Jan/Feb.
The danger for heat initiated natural avalanches will increase as the day goes on. East facing slopes will become unstable first. Later in the day west facing slopes may become dangerous also.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
Temperatures on Friday made it into the 50s. They really didn't cool much overnight and most readings were in the low 40s. A west wind has been light to moderate in speed.
Mountain Weather
It is going to be another cooker today with temperatures well into the 50s again. We may see a few clouds later in the day. Southwest wind will blow in the moderate speed category.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
A buried persistent weak layer of facets that formed in January and February remains our biggest concern. There is still a chance a person could trigger an avalanche that breaks three feet deep down to the weak layer. The other concern is that the very warm temperatures will weaken the entire snow pack and cause natural avalanches breaking down to the same layer. The most likely place for human triggered avalanches is upper elevation northwest, north, and northeast facing steep slopes. The most likely places for heat related natural avalanches will be on east facing terrain in the mid and upper elevations and then west facing terrain later on.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.