Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Thursday morning, February 12, 2026

A nice little shot of snow overnight has bumped the avalanche danger to MODERATE. Human-triggered small loose snow and small slab avalanches are possible. Use small test slopes to see how reactive the new snow is. Watch for cracking and collapsing, which indicate that weak layers beneath the new snow are failing.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow

General Conditions: Well, I didn't believe it until I saw it this morning but, I think we can call this an actual snow storm. The Skyline has picked up 5 to 8 inches of new snow. It looks like areas north of Horseshoe Mountain fared the best. The rain/snow level was around 7000'. Temperatures have been in the upper 20s and just recently cooled into the mid 20s. Wind from the southwest has been generally light. The new snow should greatly improve riding conditions.

Mountain Weather: We'll have mostly cloudy skies today with a chance for periods of light snow. I'm not expecting a whole lot of accumulation. Temperatures will stay in the mid 20s and the wind from the southwest should stay fairly light in speed. There's still a chance for a little snow tonight. Friday will be mostly cloudy, then clearing a little for the weekend. As of right now, things look good for more storms next week.
Avalanche Problem #1
New Snow
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Avalanches involving the new snow is your main concern today. My hunch is things won't be all that dangerous out there today. Use small test slopes to get a handle on how the new snow is behaving before getting onto bigger slopes. The biggest thing to watch for is how the new snow reacts to the older, sugary snow beneath. Collapsing or "whoomping" is the biggest clue to unstable underlying weak snow. My guess is that this new layer of snow isn't enough to make the old weak snow reactive..........yet. It's coming though. The old snow is almost sure to cause avalanche problems with future storms. Stay tuned.

General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.