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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik for
Thursday, December 1, 2022
The avalanche danger is MODERATE today.
Small very soft human triggered avalanches are possible in a wide variety of terrain.
More dangerous human triggered avalanches are possible in locations where the wind has drifted snow.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Southerly wind increased a bit overnight with temperatures in the mid 20s.
Mountain Weather: Today we'll have mostly cloudy skies with temperatures in the mid to upper 20s and light to moderate southwest wind. A quick hitting small storm will move through tonight into Friday morning bringing 4 to 6 inches of new snow. The weather pattern looks active over the next couple of weeks. The next storm should move in late Saturday into Sunday bringing another few inches of snow.
Recent Avalanches
There were no new avalanches reported but my partner and I continued to experience collapsing and cracking during travel on skis on Thursday. This is a sure sign of unstable snow.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
We now have a buried Persistent Weak Layer of loose sugary faceted snow the is almost certain to cause avalanche problems. Loose sugary snow that formed during the 2 week dry spell in November is now buried and has showed me its cards. Small human triggered avalanches are possible in a wide vairety of terrain in the mid and upper elevations. The most dangerous places are where the wind has formed a deeper and larger drifts.
The bottom line is that there is no doubt in my mind that avalanche conditions are going to become dangerous sometime during the upcoming storms.
Additional Information
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General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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