With temperatures surging across the range, more than 30 °F above normal, wet avalanche activity will increase in both likelihood and size over the coming days, with both wet loose avalanches and larger wet slabs becoming possible.
It’s time to start thinking about large wet slab avalanches. There is a lot of uncertainty about how wet slab avalanches will behave over the coming days; some slopes may barely move, while others could release much larger slabs. It’s hard to know exactly how things will unfold, and I have to admit that uncertainty keeps me paying close attention and building in a larger margin of caution.
We still have a well-structured snowpack with a mix of crusts and the lingering persistent weak layer we dropped going into the weekend. This layer could become active again as meltwater percolates down to the facets, potentially leading to larger, more connected, and more destructive avalanches. Pay attention to how supportable the snow surface is, how strong or shallow the overnight refreeze is, and how saturated the snowpack is becoming. These larger avalanches will likely move to the forefront as the week progresses.
For both of these problems, the travel advice remains the same for now. Rollerballs, pinwheels, and sinking deeper into the snow than you were earlier are signs it’s time to get out of there. Watch for terrain traps below, such as gullies or cliffs, where even a small avalanche can have serious consequences. Pay attention to changing conditions, and keep an eye on your aspect and timing.
Additional wet-snow problems:
- Glide avalanches: These have been releasing naturally over the past week, including in Broads Fork on Friday. These full-depth, destructive slides are difficult to forecast. It’s worth avoiding known glide paths on steep, smooth quartzite slabs and their runout zones, especially in areas like Stairs, Broads Fork, and Mill B south of Big Cottonwood Canyon, as well as the Porter Slabs in upper Porter Fork in Mill Creek.
- Cornices: These tend to calve naturally in the spring. Avoid traveling on or beneath ridgelines where cornices hang overhead.