Check Out Our Holiday Auction!

Forecast for the Provo Area Mountains

Nikki Champion
Issued by Nikki Champion on
Monday morning, December 8, 2025

Today, upper-elevation, steep slopes facing west through north and east have a CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger for triggering a slab avalanche on the Oct/Nov facets now buried 10-12 inches deep. Mid-elevation slopes with the same aspects, which received slightly less wind and snow, have a MODERATE avalanche danger.

Across all upper elevations, there is also MODERATE danger for wind-drifted snow, which has the potential to step down and trigger deeper avalanches.

Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding, and conservative decisions are essential today. Sunny skies and fresh powder are tempting, but most accidents happen after peak instability. Avalanche terrain can be avoided, and fun riding is still possible on lower-angled slopes.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Weather and Snow

This morning, skies are mostly broken and temperatures are in the mid-30s °F. Northwest winds continue at 10 to 20 mph, with gusts into the 30s across most upper elevation wind sites.

Today, skies will be cloudy in the morning with the possibility of a few lingering flurries, then gradually clearing to sunshine in the afternoon. Winds will ease a bit, blowing from the west-northwest and averaging 10 to 20 mph, with gusts up to 25 mph across most upper elevation sites. Mountain temperatures will climb into the low to mid-30s °F around 8,500 feet.

For the outlook, there is potential for generally light precipitation Tuesday into Wednesday, with less than 0.1 inches of water even at the 75th percentile. Snow levels will be high, rising above 8,500 feet by Wednesday.

Recent Avalanches

In the Provo area, several natural avalanches were observed today in the Big Springs drainage from yesterday’s storm. Both occurred around 9800' on NE to E slopes with mixed terrain, measuring roughly 1000' wide and 7–10" deep. Storm snow slid on a shallow layer of old faceted snow near the ground, likely triggered by wind loading over the ridge.

In the SLC region, avalanche reports from the weekend slowed down a bit yesterday, but a few more trickled in from both mid-storm on 12/6 and post-storm on 12/7. Most of these slides failed on northerly aspects where the heavy new snow overloaded the buried Oct and Nov faceted weak layer. At some point during the storm, many slopes went through a natural avalanche cycle. Be sure to check all avalanche observations HERE.

Example of the large natural avalanches observed in Big Springs Drainage (Photo: UDOT)

Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

To get an avalanche, you need three things working together: a weak layer, a slab on top of it, and a slope steep enough to slide. Right now, we have all of that, with old October/November facets buried under recent storm snow on slopes steeper than 30 degrees across the northern half of the compass.

We saw plenty of proof over the weekend, with widespread avalanche activity and obvious red flags. As we move farther from the loading event, those signs might not be as obvious, but the dangerous setup is still very much in play.

This extends through both upper- and mid-elevation terrain, and both should be approached with caution, though upper-elevation slopes are the most suspect today. These areas received the most snow and have the most connected weak layer. Avalanches in this setup can even be triggered remotely, meaning you could collapse the weak layer and start a slide from a distance.

Yesterday, I went to check the slide Trent and Brooke remotely triggered on 12/6. It broke roughly 1-2 feet deep, spanned nearly 200 feet, and was powerful enough to bury or injure someone. Check out my video BELOW. While this isn't from the Provo area mountains, this is a similar set up that represents the type of avalanches and snowpack that would likely be seen.

Avalanche Problem #2
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

The northwest winds have been cranking for several days now. In some areas, these winds have scoured the snow surface, but in others, they are actively drifting snow and forming fresh soft and hard slabs. Be on the lookout for slopes that are loading or have that rounded, pillow-like appearance. Cracking under your feet, a hollow feel, or stiff, chalky snow are all signs of fresh wind drifts you should avoid.

These drifts can appear a few hundred feet below ridgelines, in protected terrain features or catches, or right around treelines. Even if the ridgeline looks scoured, the slopes just a few turns below can still be loaded with fresh, unstable pockets of wind-drifted snow. Keep an eye out for these spots, as they could be easy to trigger today.

On slopes where a weak layer of faceted snow lies underneath, even a small wind drift can overload the structure. The added weight from the wind can make an avalanche break deeper and wider, increasing the likelihood of a human or remote trigger and making the consequences much more severe.

General Announcements

This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.