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Forecast for the Provo Area Mountains

Greg Gagne
Issued by Greg Gagne on
Friday morning, December 20, 2024
The avalanche danger is MODERATE on mid and upper-elevation slopes facing northwest through east where it is possible to trigger an avalanche 1-2 feet deep, failing on a persistent weak layer of faceted snow.
Recently wind-loaded slopes at the upper elevations are the most prone to avalanche.

Sluffing of loose wet snow should be expected with strong sunshine and warm temperatures.
Low
Moderate
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High
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Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements
Now is a great time to dial in your safety gear including putting fresh new batteries in your beacons! Local shops across the state will be handing out free Batteries for Beacons now until February 1, 2025. All you need to do is fill out a quick survey and grab the AAA or AA batteries you need to keep your beacon fresh this season. Find participating shops and more info here.

Join the UAC and DPS Skis for a fun night of Avalanche Jeopardy tonight, December 20th from 6:00 - 8:30 PM at Industry SLC. More information for this FREE event is available here. See you there!
Weather and Snow
This Morning: Skies are clear and temperatures at many mountain locations are well above freezing and in the upper 30's F, with the coolest temperatures at low-elevation trailheads. Winds are from the west/southwest and generally light, with the highest ridge lines gusting to 30 mph.
Today: Beacon, probe, shovel, and ..... sunhat. Sunny skies with temperatures soaring to near-record levels as they rise well into the mid and upper 40's F. Winds will be from the west/southwest with gusts in the low 20's mph along exposed mid-level ridge lines. 11,000' ridges will gust to around 30 mph.
Extended Forecast: Tomorrow is the first day of astronomical winter, but it may take a few more days to reflect this. A weak storm arrives late Sunday with a few inches of snow possible, and a decent system arriving around the 25th is looking more promising. The final week of 2024 shows hints of active weather.
Recent Avalanches
It has been a week since we've received reports of avalanche activity in the Provo mountains.
You can read all recent observations and avalanche activity here.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
A persistent weak layer - or PWL - of faceted snow exists on northerly-facing slopes at the mid and upper-level elevations where it is possible to trigger an avalanche up to 2 feet deep and over 100 feet wide. Avalanche activity and field work this week inform us that the slopes that are most prone to slide are recently wind-loaded and have a slab of stronger snow on top of the buried PWL. If you choose to venture onto steep, northerly-facing slopes, you'll have to dig down and look for this structure of strong (firmer/denser) snow over weak (softer/loose) snow.

It has been a lean start to our winter, and Trent was working with the Sundance Ski Patrol on Wednesday and documented the thin coverage and weak existing snow on northerly slopes. With such a weak snowpack, once winter does begin, we can expect an increasing avalanche danger.
Additional Information
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.