Join us at our 2nd Annual Blizzard Ball

Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Drew Hardesty
Issued by Drew Hardesty on
Thursday morning, January 23, 2025
Pockets of MODERATE avalanche danger exist around the compass at the mid and upper elevations. It's still possible to trigger a stiff and stubborn hard slab of wind drifted snow 1-2 foot deep and perhaps 100 feet wide. On northwest to north to east facing aspects at the mid and upper elevations, there is still an off-chance of triggering a hard slab that steps into an old persistent weak layer buried 1-3' deep. Caution is still advised.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements
Urgent battery replacement required for anyone who received batteries from one of our participating "Batteries for Beacons" shops. Please review the "Batteries for Beacons" replacement notice on our blog. Batteries distributed through our "Batteries for Beacons" program this year have shown to be inadequate length.

Join the UAC at Deer Valley on January 30th for the 2nd Annual Blizzard Ball Gala. Former Director of the Utah Avalanche Center, Bruce Tremper will deliver the keynote address.

TONIGHT 6pm at Rooster's B Street: Join Ogden Avalanche and Doug Wewer presenting on the history of avalanches in the Ogden mountains. Should be a great show.
Weather and Snow
Skies are clear.
Temperatures are in the single digits. Winds are 15-20mph from the northwest.
For today, we'll have sunny skies, light to moderate winds from the northwest and temps slowly warming into the upper teens to low 20s.
They say that there are hundreds of words that describe snow, but after the recent bout of strong winds, I'd say that there are only a few left suitable for polite audiences.

The Outlook: A storm out of the northwest splits, with a cut-off Low pressure system retrograding back to the southwest. Beyond that, who among us can forecast a wobbly cut-off Low?
If forced to guess, I'd say we might pick up a couple measly inches of new snow over the weekend with perhaps the Park City mountains and the Wasatch back receiving the lion's share.
Recent Avalanches
Along the Ogden skyline, avalanche teams reported triggering many hard slabs of wind drifted snow 1-2 foot thick. Along the terrain east of Eden, teams found more spotty results.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The backcountry is now littered with stiff and stubborn hard slabs of wind drifted snow. They'll be found all around the compass, but more commonly on aspects with an easterly component. They'll be found well off the ridgeline and eddied around unusual features. Remember, with hard slabs, you're "on top" of the pillow. With soft slabs, you're "in" the pillow. Hard slabs have a nasty habit of fracturing well after you're on to the slope. It may be another day or so before these rounded whales settle out and stabilize. Nikki Champion and partner found plenty of wind issues in Hells Canyon on Tuesday (pic below). Her excellent observation is HERE
Avalanche Problem #2
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
While this problem is increasingly dormant, many old-timers are still avoiding steep thin rocky terrain. Areas most likely to avalanche: thin, rocky zones, gullies, and slopes that have previously avalanched and reloaded with storm or wind-drifted snow... any large cornice fall may be enough to trigger one of these avalanches...a new wind slab avalanche may step down into the older PWL.
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.