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Forecast for the Moab Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath for
Thursday, December 14, 2023
Recent snow has not significantly changed the avalanche danger, and there's still not quite enough coverage for off trail riding and sliding. On upper elevation, northerly aspects, isolated slabs of wind drifted snow overlying weak, sugary, faceted snow may exist. These areas are extremely difficult to access at this time but if a slope looks like it has enough snow to ride, it has enough to slide. Suspect the deepest snow areas on the leeward sides of ridge crests and terrain features. Even a small avalanche triggered could take you for a very bumpy ride. We'll start providing regular forecasts when there is enough snow to get around on.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements
The Geyser Pass Road will be covered with a few inches of fresh snow over a snow packed and icy surface this morning. AWD and good tires required.
Grooming: The Geyser Pass Road above the winter trailhead officially closes on December 15, and regular grooming will commence.
Weather and Snow
General Conditions
Believe it or not, we picked up 5" of new snow last night bringing our base in Gold Basin back up to 22". There's just over a foot of snow at the Geyser Pass winter trailhead. Season snowfall total is 34". The bottom line is we are still a storm or two away from having enough coverage for real turning and riding off the roads. Long range models keep hinting at something later next week and then again around Christmas. There is enough snow on the Geyser Pass Road for cross country skiing and with the road closing on Dec 15, regular grooming will commence.
Snowpack and Weather Data
Gold Basin Storm Stake (10,000')
Gold Basin SNOTEL site (10,000')
SNOTEL site near Geyser Pass Winter Trailhead (9600')
Wind Station on Pre-Laurel Peak (11,400')
NWS forecast for the La Sal Mountains.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Several inches of pre-existing snow has turned to weak, sugary facets at the base of the snowpack on northerly aspects. Time will tell how big of a problem this becomes, but we'll be keeping an eye on it. For now, it's only a concern in upper elevation, northerly facing terrain where winds have drifted slabs over top. Most of the areas where you would encounter a problem are difficult to access because of the low coverage, but if you find yourself in the upper elevations, remember that if it has enough snow to ride, it has enough snow to slide. Suspect the deepest snow areas on the leeward sides of ridge crests and terrain features. Even a small avalanche triggered could take you for a very bumpy ride.
Additional Information
It’s never too early to start thinking about avalanches. Here are a few things to consider doing:
1-Sign up for an avalanche class.
2-Take a free online avalanche course the UAC built for Know Before You Go or other courses listed on the KBYG website (Develop skills -> Online Learning).
3-Get your avalanche rescue gear ready for winter. Put fresh batteries in your transceiver and update the firmware. Inspect your shovel and probe. Get your airbag backpack ready by possibly doing a test deployment and updating the firmware if it is an electric version.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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