Forecast for the Logan Area Mountains

Toby Weed
Issued by Toby Weed on
Sunday morning, April 16, 2023
Avalanches are unlikely, and the danger is LOW this morning. Warmth and high angle sun will elevate the danger to MODERATE in sunny terrain and at lower elevations this afternoon.
If the snow surface softens up and you start to sink deeply into wet snow, it's probably time to leave.
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Weather and Snow
Temperatures dropped below freezing again overnight at most mountain stations, and the cold has set up and refrozen the saturated snow. Wet avalanches are unlikely this morning and the refrozen snow is generally stable. You'll need to put the scrapers down, and the snow is so hard and slick on some slopes that it may be difficult to self arrest a fall if you start sliding.
In the spring it's a good idea to get in the habit of getting out early, so you can finish up early and avoid being in avalanche terrain late in the day when the snow is softened by warmth and more prone to avalanching. This is the case today, the snow on sunny slopes and at lower elevations is likely to become too soft in the afternoon.

The 8400' Tony Grove Snotel reports 30° F and 126" of total snow. It's 29° F and the wind is blowing 23 mph from the southwest this morning at the 9700' CSI Logan Peak weather station
Here is the NWS point forecast (36 hrs) for Upper Elevations in the Central Bear River Range:
Today: Sunny, with a high near 47. South wind 8 to 13 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 30. South southwest wind 13 to 18 mph.
Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 47. Southwest wind 7 to 12 mph increasing to 13 to 18 mph in the afternoon.

Snow showers are likely on Tuesday, with 3 to 7 inches of accumulation possible at upper elevations. Cooler temperatures and clouds will prevail through the remainder of the work week.
Recent Avalanches
It is a pleasure to report no new avalanches in the past few days.... For a list of last week's avalanches in the Logan Zone go HERE.
Find a list of all recent observations & avalanches from across Utah go HERE.
Avalanche Problem #1
Wet Snow
  • Wet avalanches are generally unlikely this morning, but will become possible in very steep terrain as the snow is softened by sun and seasonal warmth in the afternoon.
  • Low elevation, north facing slopes and forested or cliffy areas still hold several feet of snow and in some areas it could soften up by afternoon due to seasonal warmth.
  • Continue to follow safe travel protocols. Be ready to self arrest if you venture into steep terrain with hard, slick surface snow.
  • Stay well away from and avoid being on slopes under the huge ridge top cornices, and continue stay away from slopes with widening glide cracks.
Additional Information
Natural glide avalanche activity is apparent on the Red Slide at 6000' on east racing rock slabs in the Wellsville Mountain Wilderness above Mendon. 4-14-23
General Announcements
  • Please submit your observations from the backcountry HERE.
  • For a list of avalanche classes from the Utah Avalanche Center go HERE
  • For information on where you can ride your sled or snow-bike, check out this map of the winter travel plan for the Logan and Ogden Ranger Districts HERE, and a close up of the Tony Grove and Franklin Basin Areas HERE.
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.