Forecast for the Logan Area Mountains

Paige Pagnucco
Issued by Paige Pagnucco for
Sunday, March 17, 2024
The snow is generally stable in the Logan zone. The avalanche danger is LOW this morning but may rise to MODERATE with daytime heating.
Wet avalanches could become possible in the afternoon with warm temperatures and strong sunshine, but elevated winds blowing from the east may keep widespread activity at bay.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
The snow has taken quite a beating from the very strong east winds over the past three days. The snow surface is variable but supportable and you'll find excellent coverage across the zone. There is still some soft settled snow in north-facing shaded terrain but on sunny slopes, the snow is crusted or damp. The winds over the past two days have felt like a blow dryer, evaporating snow at an astonishing pace, particularly at low elevations - spring is here, for now, with strong sun and warm temperatures. For areas with cooler overall temperatures, I have less concern about wet avalanches, but Tony Grove barely got below freezing last night so the snow there is starting out warm this morning.
Despite the recent winds, we have not observed or gotten reports of any wind-drifted snow avalanches.

It's 29°F at the 8400' Tony Grove Snotel and there is 106" of total snow containing 125% of normal snow water equivalent (SWE). On Logan Peak, winds blowing from the east are still cranking in the 40's mph and gusting into the 50's and 60's mph. At the new Paris Peak weather station, it's 20°F, and the easterly winds are much calmer, blowing and gusting in the teens mph. The new Card Canyon weather station shows 89" of snow and it's 23°F.

Sunshine and warm temperatures dominate the forecast for today through Wednesday. Today, mountain high temperatures will range between 36°F and 45°F, depending on where you are in our vast zone. Winds will continue to blow from the east at 15 - 25 mph with gusts 30 - 40 mph, in the most prone terrain. Tomorrow looks the same with warmer temperatures and way less wind. The next chance for precipitation is Thursday.
Recent Avalanches
Yesterday, no new avalanches were reported. Check out all local observations and avalanches HERE.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The elevated winds should keep wet avalanche activity to a minimum today but it's mid-March and the sun is strong. Pushalanches (skier initiated avalanches) may become possible on steep sunny warm slopes.
We are moving into the time of year when it's best to get an early start. then move off of steep slopes when the snow gets saturated. If you start seeing signs of unstable snow like roller balls or pinwheels or you sink deeply into the damp snow, move to a cooler aspect or elevation. Or, move to slopes less than 30°.
Wet snow avalanches are the easiest to avoid for any type of user - simply avoid steep slopes with saturated snow.
General Announcements
-National Forest Winter Recreation Travel Maps show where it's open to ride: UWCNF Logan, Ogden LRD Tony Grove, Franklin Basin CTNF Montpelier
-Listen to your very own Logan Zone avalanche forecasters on the UAC Podcast HERE.
-Read Toby's blog about wind, drifting, and avalanches HERE.
-Sign up for forecast region-specific text message alerts. You will receive messages about changing avalanche conditions, watches, and warnings...HERE.
-For all questions on forecasts, education, Know Before You Go, events, online purchases, or fundraising, call 801-365-5522.
-To report an avalanche or submit an observation from the backcountry, go HERE.
-Come practice companion rescue at the Franklin Basin TH Beacon Training Park. It's free and open to everyone. For easy user instructions, go HERE.
-We will update this forecast by 7:30 AM tomorrow.
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions, and local variations always occur.