Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Monday morning, November 17, 2025

We're back in the office and are gearing up for another season. Regular forecasts will begin when there is enough snow for avalanches. We'll be keeping a record of current snowfall and updating as conditions warrant. In the meantime, it’s a great opportunity to dig out your gear. Beacon, shovel, and probe remain the three essentials. Take a few minutes to put your pack together, check batteries, and get your skis, board, or machine tuned and ready to go.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements

SAVE THE DATES!

Wednesday, December 3 - Don't miss our free Know Before You Go avalanche awareness talk at the Moab Arts and Recreation Center, 111 E 100 N at 6:00 p.m.

Saturday, December 6 - 18th Annual Utah Snow and Avalanche Workshop (USAW). This session will be held in-person at the Wasatch Jr High School Auditorium. 3750 S 3100 E, Salt Lake City, UT 84109. Information and tickets are available here.

Weather and Snow
A wet storm brought 1.5-2.0 inches of rain to the mountains on Sunday, November 16. Warm temperatures kept the snow line high, generally up around 10,000' . Whatever snow we received landed on dry ground. This is a good early season set up if we can keep the storms coming. The good news is that the pattern looks active through the month but there remain a lot of inconsistencies in model runs and a split flow has storms diving a little far south. Regardless, a change is underfoot. A weak low pressure system will move through the region on Tuesday, with perhaps a better opportunity for snow by the end of the week. We'll keep you posted!
NWS forecast for the Abajo Mountains.
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')
Additional Information

It's never too early to start thinking about avalanches. Here are a few things to consider doing:

  • Learn online. We have over 5 hours of free online learning at the Know Before You Go website
  • Check out the upcoming in-person Know Before You Go events HERE
  • Sign up for an on-snow class
  • Check out the UAC's education progression HERE
  • Get your avalanche rescue gear ready for winter. Put fresh batteries in your transceiver and update the firmware. Inspect your shovel and probe. Get your airbag backpack ready by possibly doing a test deployment and updating the firmware if it is an electric version or getting your canister refilled if it's not electronic.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.