Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath for
Friday, April 5, 2019
The avalanche danger is generally LOW and mostly stable snow conditions exist. Maintain avalanche awareness, continue to practice safe travel techniques.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Skies are partly cloudy, westerly winds are averaging 10-15 mph along ridge tops, and 10,000' temps are in the high 20's. A weakening storm system is moving through the area. Today we'll see cloudy skies and maybe a trace of snow. WSW winds will continue in the light to moderate range, and high temps will be in the mid 30's. Tomorrow will be sunny and warm. Next chance for precip looks like mid-week.

Snotel totals at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snotel totals at Camp Jackson (8858')
Wind, temperature, and humidity on Abajo Peak (11,000')
National Weather Service point forecast.
Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Backcountry travel in snow covered mountains should always be done with an awareness for avalanche potential, and LOW danger doesn't mean NO danger. Continue to practice safe travel techniques by only putting one person on a slope at a time. Be alert to changing weather conditions and keep the following avalanche problems in mind:
Wet Snow: On warm, sunny days you need to be alert to a rising danger for wet snow avalanches. Signs of instability include roller balls, pinwheels, and loose, wet sluffs. Follow the sun and get off of steep slopes if they become wet and sloppy.
Wind Drifted Snow: Always be on the lookout for areas of wind drifted snow on the leeward sides of ridge crests and terrain features. They are often recognizable as smooth, rounded pillows, or they may feel and sound hollow like a drum. Old, hard wind slabs will be harder to trigger, but they will also have higher consequences. Even a small wind slab release could be devastating if it swept you over a cliff. Choose terrain wisely and with regard for consequences.
New Snow: 6" or more of new snow can cause a rise in the avalanche danger. Sluffing and soft slabs are possible.
General Announcements
Your information can save lives. If you see anything we should know about, please help us out by submitting snow and avalanche observations HERE. You can also call me at 801-647-8896, or send me an email: [email protected].
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This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.