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Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Sunday morning, March 9, 2025
Modest amounts of new snow and strong winds late last week have increased the likelihood for human triggered avalanches, primarily on steep north through easterly aspects. Avoid steep slopes with recent deposits of wind drifted snow. Avalanches triggered in the recent snow have the potential to step down into buried weak layers of sugary faceted snow causing a deeper, and much more dangeorus avalanche. Avoiding slopes steeper than 30 degrees in these areas is the safest option.
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Weather and Snow
The Abajo mountains still suffer from thin snowcover, but what snow exists is poor in structure meaning that a dense slab exists over weak, sugary, faceted snow. See this observation from February 8. This stucture exists on northerly aspects that have held snow all season, and human triggered avalanches are possible in these areas. Sunny aspects have very thin snowcover and grass is still poking out in most areas.
Photo illustrates poor snowpack structure with strong snow over top of weak, sugary, faceted snow. Photo courtesy of Carrie, Cory, and Matt.
Photo of an Extended Column Test illustrates the snowpack's propensity for human triggered avalanches. Score was ECTP22.
Use these links for current weather conditions.
NWS forecast for the Abajo Mountains.
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.