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Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Mark Staples
Issued by Mark Staples for
Monday, March 18, 2019
Today the avalanche danger is MODERATE at all elevations. There is a small chance of triggering a slide that breaks deep in the snowpack. For this reason, make sure to only expose one person at a time to avalanche terrain and watch them from safe zones not in avalanche runout zones. Also, watch for small wet loose avalanches as the day heats up and the surface snow gets wet.
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Weather and Snow
This morning temperatures range from the upper teens to mid 20s F. Winds were calm yesterday but increased from the SW overnight and are blowing 14 mph gusting 17 mph on Abajo Peak
Today will have strong sunshine and clear skies with temperatures reaching the 40s F. Winds will blow 5-10 mph with some gusts of 15 mph. The snow on most slopes has been through several days of a melt freeze cycle.
Looking ahead today and Tuesday should have more sunny weather. Another storm could bring a decent shot of snow late Wednesday into Thursday.
The snowpack in the Abajos is very deep. Snow depths near 10,000 feet range from 7 feet to 11 feet.
Snotel totals at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snotel totals at Camp Jackson (8858')
Wind, temperature, and humidity on Abajo Peak (11,000')
National Weather Service point forecast.
Recent Avalanches
Avalanche activity following last week's storm in the Abajos was only in the new snow which has bonded well since then. There was been a major cycle of avalanches in the La Sal Mountains which received more snow than the Abajo Mountains last week.
Below is a photo of an avalanche that occurred in the La Sal mountains. Many others occurred like this one. See the full list HERE.
Additional Information
Carry appropriate rescue gear: beacon, probe, shovel, and choose where you ride based on the avalanche forecast for the day!
General Announcements
Your information can save lives. If you see anything we should know about, please help us out by submitting snow and avalanche observations HERE. You can also call me at 801-641-6307, or send me an email: [email protected].
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This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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