Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Issued by Eric Trenbeath for Wednesday, February 6, 2019 - 7:23am
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW HAVE CREATED DANGEROUS AVALANCHE CONDITIONS! The avalanche danger is HIGH today on steep, wind drifted slopes that face W-N-SE at mid and upper elevations. Natural and human triggered avalanches are likely in these areas. Most other terrain has a CONSIDERABLE danger with the exception of low elevation, south facing terrain where the danger is MODERATE. Stay off of and out from under steep terrain. Backcountry travelers need to have excellent route finding and snow stability analysis skills. Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended.
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Weather and Snow
Buckboard Flat is reporting 6" of new snow since yesterday, expect up to 10" up high. This brings totals since Saturday to between 12" -20" depending on elevation. Southerly winds have backed off a bit and are averaging in the teens with gusts in the 30's. Snow showers should continue today with another 3"-5" possible. SW winds will blow in the 20-25 mph range with gusts as high as 50. In other words, continuing blowing and drifting snow today.
Snow totals at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals at Camp Jackson (8858')
Wind, temperature, and humidity on Abajo Peak (11,000')
National Weather Service point forecast.
Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Natural and human triggered avalanches involving wind drifted snow are likely today. Avoid steep slopes with recent deposits of wind drifted snow
Avalanche Problem #2
Persistent Weak Layer
New snow, and wind drifted snow will add additional stress to buried, persistent weak layers in the snowpack. Our primary concern is layer of weak, sugary snow at the base of the snowpack, and human triggered avalanches failing on this weak layer are likely today. The danger is greatest on steep, mid and upper elevation slopes facing NW-N-E, but in some areas the problem wraps around to W and SE facing slopes.
Avalanche Problem #3
New Snow
Avalanches within the new snow will be possible on steep slopes on all aspects at mid and upper elevations.
General Announcements
Your information can save lives. If you see anything we should know about, please help us out by submitting snow and avalanche observations HERE. You can also call me at 801-647-8896, or send me an email:
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This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

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