Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Friday morning, February 20, 2026

Dangerous avalanche conditions exist in the Abajo Range, and the avalanche danger is HIGH. Natural avalanches are likely, and human-triggered avalanches are very likely. Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended. Avoid being on or beneath steep slopes. You can trigger avalanches from a distance, including slopes that are above you.

9 inches of new snow have fallen overnight bringing snow totals up to 2 feet this week at 2.6 inches of snow water equivalent. This is a significant load on what is a very weak and sensitive pre-existing snowpack. Any slope that previously held snow became very weak and faceted during the January dry spell. Slopes that face west to north to east harbor this weak structure. Strong westerly winds are adding to the problem. The same slopes that harbor weak snow are the same slopes that are being wind-loaded. Slabs of wind-drifted snow above weak facets will be sensitive and easy to trigger. Today is not a day to try to outsmart any avalanche problems. Keep it simple and avoid avalanche terrain.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
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Avalanche Warning
What: The avalanche danger for the warning area is HIGH today.
Where: The the Abajo/Blue Mountains of Southeastern Utah.
Impacts: Recent heavy snow combined with strong wind has created widespread areas of unstable snow. Both human-triggered and natural avalanches are likely.
What to do: Avoid all avalanche terrain. Stay off of and out from under slopes steeper than 30°. Carry and know how to use avalanche rescue equipment. Find safer riding conditions on slopes less than 30° with no overhead hazard
Warning Times: Friday, 2/20/26 at 6:00 AM MST through 6:00 AM MST Saturday, 2/21/26
Special Announcements

SAVE THE DATES!

We are rescheduling our Moab Backcountry 101 Class to Feb 20, 21 in the hopes of more snow. Click here for information and registration. Moab and Monticello locals can use the discount code MOAB-LOCAL for a 10% discount.

Weather and Snow
NWS forecast for the Abajo Mountains.
Wind speed and direction on Abajo Peak.
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')
See all Abajo Observations here.
Additional Information
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.