Forecast for the Salt Lake Area Mountains

Greg Gagne
Issued by Greg Gagne on
Monday morning, January 5, 2026

The avalanche danger is HIGH at the upper elevations and CONSIDERABLE at mid elevations where human-triggered avalanches are very likely and natural avalanches likely. Avalanches may fail one to three feet deep within the storm slab of new and wind-drifted snow, but also may step down to more deeper weak layers buried three to over five feet deep on northerly-facing slopes. With little to no snow below 8,000 feet, the avalanche danger is Low at lower elevations.

Travel on, underneath, or adjacent to any slope approaching 30° or steeper on aspects facing west, north, and east is not recommended.

Fortunately, this dense snow is supportable and provides excellent travel and riding conditions on lower-angled (less than 30° in steepness) slopes.

Remember: If you are ducking ropes or stepping out of bounds at a ski area, you are stepping into potentially dangerous avalanche conditions. It’s worth noting that Utah leads the nation in avalanche fatalities where riders have exited the ski area boundaries and never made it home.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements

Be mindful of avalanche workers - IF YOU TRIGGER an avalanche near a ski area, please report it to the ski patrol dispatch or Alta Central (801-742-2033). Rescue personnel don’t want to be subjected to dangerous conditions if the scene is clear. More on this in Backcountry Emergency Protocols

Weather and Snow

As of 5 am, 24-hour snow/water totals (in inches) include:

-> Little Cottonwood: 15"/2.5"

-> Big Cottonwood: 14"/2.8"

-> Park City Ridgeline: 8"/1.5"

Winds are from the west/southwest and sustained, averaging in the teens and 20's mph (perfect wind speeds for creating fresh wind drifts) with overnight gusts in the 30's mph along exposed mid and upper-elevation ridgelines. 11,000 foot gusts are in the 50's mph. Temperatures range through the 20's °F.

For today, expect periods of heavy snowfall this morning and moderate to strong winds, with another 4-8 inches of snow expected. Snowfall rates will be the highest this morning, before tapering to snow showers this afternoon. Temperatures will rise into the upper 20's °F.

After a short break, another storm is expected later Wednesday. This will be a more traditional storm featuring colder temperatures and lower-density snowfall.

Recent Avalanches

On Sunday afternoon, a party on the ridgeline above Two Dogs in Days Fork unintentionally released a cornice onto the slope below which triggered an avalanche that initially failed above the Christmas rain crust (CERC) layer, but stepped down to facets and depth hoar at the ground. The slide was on a northeast-facing slope at 10,100 feet and was 4.5 feet deep, 250 feet wide, and ran 700 feet, snapping trees along the way.

Based upon an investigation by Brighton Ski Patrol, it appears that two riders were caught and carried in a large avalanche on Saturday in the Hidden Canyon area of the Brighton backcountry. Most likely, the party exited the ski area boundary and entered the dangerous terrain, triggering the 2-4 feet deep and 200 feet wide avalanche, and were carried for 500 feet down the slope. It appears that one was partially buried and the other fully buried. They were very lucky. This was the third significant avalanche in the Brighton backcountry of Hidden Canyon in the past week.

Utah leads the nation in fatalities of skiers and riders who have left ski area boundaries and never made it home. UAC Forecaster Drew Hardesty broke down Utah accident data in an article for The Avalanche Review in 2016 if you want to dig in. Note that these numbers were before the backcountry traffic uptick during COVID.

Read all backcountry observations here.

Avalanche Problem #1
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Heavy snowfall overnight and into today may create a sensitive storm slab one to two feet deep. Natural avalanches can be expected during any period of high snowfall rates. Given this new snow is somewhat dense, the slab of storm snow may allow you to get further onto a slope before avalanching. If snowfall diminishes, the storm snow may become less sensitive by this afternoon.

Avalanches involving fresh storm snow may step down 2-3 feet deep to the Christmas rain crust (CERC layer) or to the more deeply-buried faceted snow down near the ground, with avalanches over five feet deep possible.

Avalanche Problem #2
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Moderate to strong winds from the west/southwest will continue to drift snow onto leeward north and east aspects, although cross-loading (which will drift snow onto south and west-facing slopes) is also possible. Watch for cracking as an indication of sensitive fresh wind drifts.

Avalanches involving recent slabs of wind-drifted snow may step down 2-3 feet deep to the Christmas rain crust (CERC layer) or to the more deeply-buried faceted snow down near the ground, with avalanches over five feet deep possible.

Avalanche Problem #3
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Sunday's avalanche in Two Dogs, plus three avalanches in Hidden Canyon this past week all failed in weak snow down near the ground. Sunday's Two Dogs avalanche may be the sign that on many slopes where the persistent weak layer (PWL) exists, the weight of new and wind-driven snow may finally be enough to affect this deeply-buried weak layer, creating large and destructive avalanches.

Travel Advice: Do not travel on, underneath, or adjacent to any slope approaching 30° or steeper on aspects facing west, north, and east.

Additional Information

We're all excited about the fresh new snow and improved riding conditions, especially with the slow start to the season. Everyone (us included) is antsy to get some fresh turns. Longtime local professionals noted some less-than-safe travel practices in the backcountry yesterday. We have a responsibility to one another to cross slopes one at a time, be aware of who’s above and below us, and to pick uptracks with the least exposure. We tell you these things not to wag fingers, but to have you come home to and with all of your friends and family tonight. It’s what we all want for each other.

General Announcements

This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.