Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Ogden Area Mountains Issued by Evelyn Lees for Thursday - March 9, 2017 - 7:07am
bottom line

This morning: the avalanche danger is generally LOW, with a MODERATE danger at the upper elevations for triggering a wind drift or cornice that could take you for a ride.

By late morning through the day: the avalanche danger will rise to MODERATE for wet loose sluffs, first on east then south then west facing slopes and on all low and mid elevation slopes. Natural wet loose avalanches might occur - avoid steep sunny slopes and the run out zones below - like the bottoms of gullies and avalanche paths.




special announcement

Tonight - Thursday 3/9 6:00 PM - This week the Utah Adventure Journal Speaker Series hosts Joe Grant. Last summer Joe did a self-powered link up of all of Colorado's 14,000ft peaks by bike and on foot. Starting at his home Joe rode more than 1,100 miles, ran/hiked more than 400 miles and summited 57 peaks all in 1 month. Joe will share the story of his adventure, the highs and lows, the gear, the logistics, and style he used to overcome the challenges of Colorado's high country. You can find more information about the presentation here.

Spring Special: We have a few donated Snowbird, Snowbasin, Solitude, and Brighton discount lift tickets left and have just lowered the price. Ski a day and benefit the Utah Avalanche Center! Order here.

The Wasatch Powderkeg will be held Friday and Saturday, Mar 10 and 11, at Brighton as a benefit for the Utah Avalanche Center, featuring a Ski Mountaineering Sprint race on Friday afternoon and a longer race Saturday with Race, recreation, and youth courses and divisions. There will also be Companion Rescue, Terrain Strategies, Splitboarding, Steep Skiing and Riding, and Mountaineering Techniques for Skiers and Snowboarders skills clinics Saturday taught by local pros. There will be a drawing for great gear including boots and winner's choice of skis or a splitboard mid-day Saturday. Details here.

current conditions

Under partly cloudy skies, temperatures in the Ogden area mountains are warm this morning - around 40 at the trail heads and some mid elevation sights, with a mix of 30s and a few upper 20s at the higher elevations. The southwesterly winds are generally light, with gusts to 20 mph at the mid elevations, with the usual faster speeds across the high ridges and peaks - speeds averaging 30 to 35 mph.

The snow surface is “variable”, with the last of the cold, dry snow to be found on upper elevation north and northeasterly facing slopes, dotted with punchy wind slabs. The widespread breakable sun crusts at the lower elevations and on sunny slopes will soften later today, into thick sloppy snow.

recent activity

Yesterday, no reports from the Ogden area backcountry. Resorts reported significant wet loose sluffing on less skier compacted slopes as the snow heated up. In addition, control work released cornices, which then triggered small soft slabs and some soft slabs were released with ski cuts.

Avalanche Problem 1
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 12 hours
description

Heats on – with more sun and warmer temperatures today, the snow will rapidly become wet and sloppy. Wet loose sluffs will be easy to trigger, and predictable natural wet loose avalanches are expected. Avalanches will start first on east facing slopes, then south then west. Slides may be larger and run further than expected as they entrain snow on their downward journey. Watch for the predictable signs - dampening snow, roller balls and small sluffs, often initiating off rocks and cliff bands. These mean it’s time to head to lower angle slopes or a different cooler aspect. The snow on mid and low elevation northerly facing slopes will also get damp and sluff today.

Avalanche Problem 2
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

Wind slabs can still be triggered on upper elevation slopes facing northwest, north and northeast. Most are small and stubborn or not reactive, but yesterday’s slide shows there are a few larger deposits of wind-drifted snow that can be triggered. The wind slabs are scattered from the ridge lines all the way down into the drainage bottoms. Terrain matters - getting caught above cliffs, trees or on a continuously long, steep slope will have more serious consequences

Avalanche Problem 3
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

Enormous cornices along the ridge lines are encouraged to release with warm temperatures. It would be just like the night to play tricks – cornices can release around the clock. Avoidance is the key - stay way back from the edges of the cornices and minimize any time spent beneath either.

weather

With warm temperatures and no major storms in the 10-day forecast, we could be headed toward a possible corn cycle once overnight temperatures cool. Today, clouds should decrease in the Ogden area mountains, and under mostly clear skies, it will be a scorcher, with temperatures warming to near freezing along the high ridge lines, and around 50 at the low and mid elevations. The southwesterly winds are forecast to decrease, and mid elevations should average less than 15 mph at most stations, with the highest peaks averaging 20 to 25 mph by days end. Tomorrow, warm and sunny in the morning, with increasing clouds in the afternoon.

Two small systems, one late Friday and another Sunday, will bring brief, minor cooling. Then a major warm up next week, with ridge line temperatures soaring to near 40 degrees by Tuesday. No major storms in the 10 day forecast.

general announcements

Remember your information can save lives. If you see anything we should know about, please help us out by submitting snow and avalanche conditions. You can also call us at 801-524-5304, email by clicking HERE, or include #utavy in your tweet or Instagram.

To get help in an emergency (to request a rescue) in the Wasatch, call 911. Be prepared to give your GPS coordinates or the run name. Dispatchers have a copy of the Wasatch Backcountry Ski map.

Backcountry Emergencies. It outlines your step-by-step method in the event of a winter backcountry incident.

If you trigger an avalanche in the backcountry, but no one is hurt and you do not need assistance, please notify the nearest ski area dispatch to avoid a needless response by rescue teams. Thanks.

EMAIL ADVISORY If you would like to get the daily advisory by email you will need to subscribe here.

DAWN PATROL Hotline updated daily by 5-530am - 888-999-4019 option 8.

TWITTER Updates for your mobile phone - DETAILS

UDOT canyon closures: LINK TO UDOT, or on Twitter, follow @UDOTavy, @CanyonAlerts or @AltaCentral

Utah Avalanche Center mobile app - Get your advisory on your iPhone along with great navigation and rescue tools.

Powderbird Helicopter Skiing - Blog/itinerary for the day

Lost or Found something in the backcountry? - http://nolofo.com/

Ski Utah mobile snow updates

To those skinning uphill at resorts: it is critical to know the resort policy on uphill travel. You can see the uphill travel policy for each resort here.

Benefit the Utah Avalanche Center when you shop from Backcountry.com or REI: Click this link for Backcountry.com or this link to REI, shop, and they will donate a percent of your purchase price to the UAC. Both offer free shipping (with some conditions) so this costs you nothing!

Benefit the Utah Avalanche Center when you buy or sell on ebay - set the Utah Avalanche Center as a favorite non-profit in your ebay account here and click on ebay gives when you buy or sell. You can choose to have your seller fees donated to the UAC, which doesn't cost you a penny.

This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.