Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Trent Meisenheimer
Issued by Trent Meisenheimer on
Sunday morning, March 2, 2025
The avalanche danger will rise to MODERATE on slopes facing east, south, and west, including low and mid-elevation northerly slopes. As the snow surface warms, you will want to be on the lookout for wet snow avalanches.
Upper-elevation northerly slopes have a LOW danger, but at the southern end of the range, the danger may approach MODERATE where it is possible to trigger an avalanche failing on a buried persistent weak layer 1-3 feet deep.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
No overnight re-freeze for the Ogden area as current mountain temperatures range from 30-41°F. The wind is blowing from the west-southwest at speeds of 5-15 mph. Today we will see high pressure begin to move off to our east as a storm moves in overnight. The wind is forecast to pick up from the south and blow 10-20 mph with gusts into the upper 20s and 30s across the upper elevation terrain. This morning it will be sunny with temperatures climbing into the upper 40s to low 50s °F. We will see increasing clouds throughout the day, with maybe some snow falling around the dinner hour. We could see 1-2 feet of new snow by Tuesday.
Recent Avalanches
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Today will be a transition day. Sunny skies in the morning with warming temperatures might be enough to warm the snow. However, wind and increasing clouds could keep wet activity to a minimum. Remember, if you're seeing roller balls or the snow becomes unsupportable, it's time to head to cooler aspects or seek lower-angled terrain. Wet-snow avalanches can run very far, especially in confined gully features.
*If the snow surface does not soften, slide for life conditions could be on many slopes.
Avalanche Problem #2
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
These layers move towards dormancy, and the likelihood slowly decreases each day. However, the snowpack is so variable right now. This means that in one place, you can have a deep and strong snowpack while in another place, the snowpack is shallow.
For now, my advice would be to probe (check depth) and dig down in the snowpack before committing to any steep north-facing terrain and make sure the slope has not avalanched before. Steep rocky terrain or slopes with a shallow snowpack would also be very suspect for harboring weaker snow.
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.