Forecast for the Provo Area Mountains

Paige Pagnucco
Issued by Paige Pagnucco on
Tuesday morning, February 18, 2025
The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on all aspects and elevations. Human-triggered avalanches are likely on most slopes, especially on those with buried weak layers.
My travel advice today: Avoid travel in avalanche terrain.
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Moderate
Considerable
High
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Learn how to read the forecast here
Weather and Snow
Widespread signs of instability are slowly decreasing, as are natural avalanches, but the fact remains that none of us trust this snowpack. We’ve seen avalanches on almost every aspect and elevation in the past 5 days, and because there are multiple weak layers, you can’t be sure which one will fail. I don’t encourage anyone to try to navigate the hazard right now. Plenty of excellent powder riding can be found on slopes less than 30 degrees. Plain and simple.
Overnight, winds have been blowing from the southwest at 5-10 MPH with gusts in the teen's MPH, stronger on the ridgelines. In the past 24 hours, the mountains have picked up 5-9" of snow containing .27-.72" of SWE.
The NWS Winter Weather Advisory continues through noon today, and the mountains could pick up another inch or two of snow before the skies clear this afternoon/evening. Expect mostly to partly cloudy skies, with 10,000' high temperatures in the teens F. Winds from the west will blow 10 to 20 MPH with gusts in the 30s MPH on ridgelines.
Recent Avalanches
No avalanches were reported from the backcountry yesterday. Trent was in the field in Provo on Sunday - video below.
Read all observations HERE.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The snowpack in Provo leaves alot to be desired. It is shallow, weak, and unstable. The zone is plagued with different faceted snow layers sitting below the recent storm snow. Not an ideal or safe setup as avalanches can fail on any of these weak layers. It’s not the time to thread the needle trying to find the one steep slope that won’t slide because the faceted snow is too widespread. Until the snowpack becomes more stable, we recommend staying out of avalanche terrain.
Avalanche Problem #2
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Elevated winds have continued to create sensitive wind drifts on all aspects at mid and upper-elevations. Cornices have grown large and may break further from ridgelines than expected. Any avalanche involving wind-drifted snow may step down to a buried persistent weak layer.
Additional Information
We've had four people tragically die already this year. Please do not try to outsmart the snowpack. Keep it simple and avoid steep terrain.
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.