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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Thursday morning, January 9, 2025
The overall danger rating remains CONSIDERABLE today on the Manti Skyline on steep upper elevation slopes that face northwest through east.
The chances for triggering something is becoming less each day that goes by.
However, weak snow still remains deep in the snowpack and I'm not trusting it.
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Big Pine Sports
340 N Milburn Rd, Fairview, UT 84629
Tuesday, January 14th, 7pm
Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: The wind shifted around to the northwest and increased a bit overnight. It has slowed again. Temperatures were again in the single digits at many locations. You'll find some varying wind crusts scattered about the higher terrain but you'll also find lots of good turning conditions in sheltered areas.
Mountain Weather: A few clouds this morning should dissipate as the day goes on. Wind is going to continue to shift more northeast. It doesn't look like it'll get too strong, maybe a bit breezy along the upper ridges. East wind can be fickle to forecast and often is stronger than I anticipate.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Buried faceted snow. AKA: Persistent Weak Layer. This stuff remains a concern today and we'll be watching it for a while to come.
The weak layers down deep can still fail and produce a dangerous slab avalanche. The chance for this happening is decreasing every day by a little bit. 8 out of 10 slopes will probably not avalanche if someone gets on them. However, figuring out the remaining two slopes that will avalanche is not easy to do. A buried layer of facets is not a "manageable" situation. All you can do is avoid the steep northerly facing terrain until strength increases.
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This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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