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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Thursday morning, January 25, 2024
The overall avalanche danger remains CONSIDERABLE.
Human triggered avalanches breaking deep into sugary facets at the base of the snowpack is a continued threat.
The most likely places to trigger an avalanche are on very steep mig and upper elevation slopes that face west, north and east.
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One evening of online presentations, one full day out in the backcountry with instructors.
You'll learn all the basics of rescue and how to read the snow and make good decisions in avalanche terrain.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Once again the temperatures hovered in the mid 20s over the last 24 hours. Wind from the southwest increased with moderate speeds overnight and has slowed again. I traveled from Miller Flat through Seeley Canyon and found the riding to be quite fun still.
Mountain Weather: A small storm will move through this afternoon and evening bringing 2 to 4 inches of new snow. Temperatures today will be in the mid 20s. Wind will be light from the southwest to start the day then switch around and blow from the northwest with increasing speeds this afternoon. It looks like it's going to get pretty strong tonight. Friday will be partly cloudy with temperatures around 20˚F and slowing wind from the northwest. A stout ridge of high pressure moves in bringing very warm temperatures through the middle of next week. As of now, weather models indicate storms to follow.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Sorry for the repetitive nature here but we're going to be talking about the weak sugary faceted snow at the base of the snowpack for some time to come still. It's not healing up fast. We really need a few more feet of consolidated snow on top of it before it will start to become stable. For now, continue to avoid steep slopes on the mid and upper elevation slopes that face west, north and east.
I've updated my seasonal history blog to include snow and avalanche conditions from Dec 22 to the present. DETAILS HERE
Additional Information
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This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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