Mark describes our snowpack setup in the viddy above

First- it's low probability/high consequence. What we know is that if we do trigger a slide, it can break 2-5 feet deep and hundreds or even thousands of feet wide and it'll be unsurvivable. Unfortunately, we don't know the exact probability of triggering an avalanche on this weak layer but it has decreased somewhat since the big Valentines storm.

Second- with such a supportable slab on top of this weak layer, a slope may have many sets of tracks on it and still slide if someone hits a thin spot in the snowpack. You can guess where thin spots exist, but you never really know because they can be near a rock or bush hidden under the snow, like in the image above.

What to do? Unfortunately it's just a season with a dangerous snowpack. There's no way around that fact, and the key to longevity is avoiding all big, open slopes steeper than 30 degrees. Slopes above treeline, especially those with recent deposits of wind drifted snow are most dangerous. Triggering a slide on slopes near treeline remains possible.

You'd really have to go out of your way to find a wind drift these days, but the Uinta's are a big range and I bet there's a shallow, old, drift or two that'll react to our additional weight. Found mostly on the leeward side of upper elevation ridges, be on lookout for fresh drifts around terrain feature like chutes and gullies. In any case, today you'll want to look for and avoid any fat, rounded piece of snow, especially if it looks chalky or feels hollow and sounds like a drum. And remember- once triggered, even a small wind drift can quickly get out of hand, especially if it crashes down the slope and breaks into deeper buried weak layers.

Lose the wind and you lose the problem... simply lose some elevation and steer towards wind sheltered terrain where you'll be rewarded with great riding and more predictable avalanche danger.