Forecast for the Uintas Area Mountains

Craig Gordon
Issued by Craig Gordon for
Saturday, March 9, 2019
In the wind zone, at and above treeline, you'll find CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger. Human triggered avalanches are LIKELY on steep wind drifted slopes, especially those facing the north half of the compass and particularly those with an easterly component to their aspect. Any avalanche that breaks into deeper buried weak layers near the ground will result in a deep, dangerous slide.
In steep, mid elevation, wind drifted terrain you'll find MODERATE avalanche danger and human triggered avalanches are POSSIBLE.
Low elevation, low angle, wind sheltered terrain offers generally LOW avalanche danger.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Weather and Snow
KA-POW.... what a storm! Skies are partly cloudy and light snow showers linger in the wake of yesterday's cold, moist system that stacked up nearly a foot of light, dry, blower pow. Temperatures cratered overnight and currently hover in the single digits. It's a beautiful thing when the wind doesn't howl on the eastern front and for the past 24 hours, winds remained mostly manageable. Averaging in the 20's and 30's early yesterday, veering from the southwest, then to the west, and finally to the northwest late last night and backing off into the teens. Riding and turning conditions are about as good as they get, especially in mid elevation, wind sheltered terrain.
Above is hourly data from Trial Lake (9,945') and Windy Peak (10,662'). To view more regional weather stations click here.
Recent Avalanches
Hardly a breath of wind penetrated mid elevation, sheltered terrain. But with a little provocation the light density snow produced predictably manageable, shallow soft slabs and long running sluffs.
Meanwhile, cabins located in snowbelt mountain communities continue to produce significant, chimney stripping roofalanches .
Recent trip reports and avy activity found HERE.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
On Thursday, Eastern front avalanche hunters Jason and Dave stomped around Upper Weber Canyon yesterday and found fresh wind slabs forming along the leeward side of upper elevation ridges (image pictured above). Reactive to the additional weight of a person, yesterday's slabs broke 12"-18" deep, failing on a layer of light density snow, and ran a surprisingly long distance. Dave noted.... "given the density of the new snow, the wind slabs were a bit more connected then would otherwise be expected with these wind speeds."
Yesterday's snow fell straight out of the sky, but the light, blower pow is covering up old wind drifts formed on Thursday, making them hard to detect... and that's where it gets a bit tricky. While I think today's avy danger is pretty straight-forward, don't get fooled into thinking fresh, shallow snow instabilities are all you're dealing with. In upper elevation leeward terrain, underneath that fluff, lurks an old drift or two that may break deeper and wider than you might expect. Whilst cracking at or below our skis, boards, or sleds the best way to manage this setup is to simply look for and avoid any fat, rounded piece of snow, especially if it sounds hollow like a drum.
And don't forget-
Cornices are ginormous and may break back further than you might expect. You definitely wanna give these large, unpredictable pieces of snow a wide berth and not ruin someones day below by inadvertently knocking a boxcar size piece of snow down on them
Avalanche Problem #2
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
We are trending in the right direction and recent snowpack stability tests along with the lack of avalanches failing on weak snow near the ground suggest we're turning the corner. Also streaming in from the good news department is this... most terrain where the snowpack is becoming thick and strong, deep dangerous avalanches are becoming harder to trigger. All encouraging news for sure, but we've got to remember there's a lot of terrain that makes up the landscape of the western Uinta range and I'm not entirely convinced all slopes are good to go. However, our theories will get tested as the next series of storms should add a substantial amount of snow and water and help us determine the strength of our deeply buried weak layers. In the meantime, let's reflect on how persistent weak layers work and remember that all I need to do is find a shallow, weak portion of the snowpack, perhaps around a rock or bush that I can't see underneath the snow, collapse the slope (whoomph), and now I'm staring down the barrel of a dangerous avalanche. What I don't know... where exactly these weak points exist in the snowpack, but steep rocky slopes are certainly high on the suspect terrain list and should be avoided today.
Additional Information
Today, look for partly cloudy skies with a passing snow shower or two. Westerly winds remain light, blowing less than 20 mph along the ridges and high temperatures climb into the mid 20's. Light snow is on tap this evening into early Sunday morning.
General Announcements
The information in this advisory expires 24 hours after the date and time posted, but will be updated by 7:00 AM Sunday March 10th, 2019.
If you're getting out and about, please let me know what you're seeing especially if you see or trigger and avalanche. I can be reached at [email protected] or 801-231-2170
It's also a good time to set up one of our very popular avalanche awareness classes. Reach out to me and I'll make it happen.
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.