Join us at our 2nd Annual Blizzard Ball

Observation: Skyline

Observation Date
12/31/2015
Observer Name
Brett Kobernik
Region
Skyline
Location Name or Route
Choke Cherry Ridge to the Skyline
Weather
Sky
Few
Wind Direction
East
Wind Speed
Moderate
Weather Comments
COLD!!! Temps only made it above 10˚F for a few hours. East winds gradually increased through the day and were almost annoying by the time I left around 4:30pm.
Snow Characteristics
New Snow Depth
6"
New Snow Density
Low
Snow Surface Conditions
Powder
Dense Loose
Wind Crust
Snow Characteristics Comments

There's about 4 to 6" of new snow that's fallen since Monday. Perhaps a bit more in places. This was high quality snow which made the riding exquisite. However, the east wind was doing a number on the upper elevations and I'm guessing that there will be extensive wind damage at least up high by New Years Day.

Avalanche Problem #1
Problem
Persistent Weak Layer
Problem #1 Comments

There may be some scattered slopes which did not avalanche during the recent cycle that may still be sensitive to a rider.

Comments

WOW!!! It was an outstanding day for avalanche viewing. All of the avalanches that I viewed released naturally during the natural avalanche cycle from last week. There were two separate periods when these released. The first natural avalanche cycle was on Tuesday, December 22nd. I believe this is when the biggest avalanches occurred. The second natural avalanche cycle was on Christmas Day during a very intense period of rapid snowfall which laid down 22" of new snow. This cycle produced shallower avalanches but it was also quite widespread.

An incredible amount of the upper elevation northwest through east facing slopes have avalanched. Literally every drainage has natural avalanches in it. If you are looking to get onto steeper terrain right now, these slopes are a safer bet than those that have not released.

I intended on doing snowpack analyzing today but it was too cold to do much. It was all I could do to warm my hands up after taking photos. I will do more analyzing over the next few days as temps gradually warm.

I am logging all of the avalanches that I viewed but it's a slow process as I have seen so many.

Here's one in upper Seeley that looks like it released on the earlier cycle of Dec 22nd:

The Manti Skyline is just full of fracture lines everywhere you look. Some of these are more subtle because they released early in the storm cycle and have been filled in with more snow and wind.

Today's Observed Danger Rating
Moderate
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
Moderate