Forecast for the Uintas Area Mountains

Craig Gordon
Issued by Craig Gordon on
Friday morning, January 1, 2021
Heads up... deceptively tricky avalanche danger is found in the western Uinta's-
In the wind zone, at and above treeline, you'll find pockets of CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger. Human triggered avalanches are LIKELY on steep, wind drifted slopes. Steep terrain facing the north half of the compass, and particularly slopes with an easterly component to its aspect are most suspect and should be avoided.
Mid elevations offer MODERATE avalanche danger on steep slopes facing the north half of the compass and human triggered avalanches are POSSIBLE.
In either case, once triggered, today's avalanches may break deeper and wider than you might expect.
LOW avalanche danger is found on mid and low elevation slopes, particularly those facing south, but snow cover is super thin.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements
A small, yet dangerous slide triggered late Sunday in the Wolf Creek Bowl is easily seen by the side of the road. I took a look... click here for more info.
You know the program... roadside attractions are still an easy grab and just 'cause you can see it from the car doesn't mean it's safe or you're good to go. And remember, our front-line health care workers are maxed out. So, let's collectively think about our decisions and the consequences that may have on others.
Thanks to the generous support of our local resorts, Ski Utah, and Backcountry, discount lift tickets are now available. Support the UAC while you ski at the resorts this season. Tickets are available here.
Drew Hardesty has an excellent new blog post.
Managing Risk with Avalanches, Managing Risk with a Pandemic - A Conversation with state epidemiologist Dr. Angela Dunn
Stream here or tune in wherever you get your favorite podcasts.
Weather and Snow
Nowcast-
Clear skies and temperatures in the single digits wish you a Happy New Year! Along the high ridges, northerly winds blow 25-35 mph and windchill values clock in at -11 degrees. Just an inch of snow fell from yesterday's storm and with total snow depths averaging just over two feet in depth, conditions are slowly improving, but it's still low tide in the Uinta's and travel is sorta limited to road rides and grassy slopes.
Forecast-
We can expect partly cloudy skies with temperatures climbing into the mid 20's. A weak storm sliding to the north brings an increase in afternoon clouds and wind.
Futurecast-
A slight change in weather for the New Year. Light snow develops Sunday with a slightly better shot slated for early in the week, a midweek break, and another system on tap for Thursday.
Looking for real-time temps, snow, or wind?
Click here and then on the "western Uinta" tab for western Uinta specific, weather station network.
Recent Avalanches
Dave Kikkert stomped around upper Weber Canyon yetserday, remotely triggering the avalanche in the image above from nearly a football field away. And check out that nasty terrain trap, it's a gully, and all that snow stuffs you into it. Dave's been in the avalanche business a couple decades and he's treading lightly. A great obeservation and solid insight is found here.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Andy Nassetta rode the south half of the range and found a recently triggered slide in the Currant Creek zone.
Nothing has changed in the past few days, as a matter of fact, it just gets spookier. Every slope my colleagues and I walk on respond with big, booming collapses, and cracks shooting everywhere, suggesting we've got a dangerous setup in our snowpack. And recent avalanches say we don't need to be on steep slopes in order to trigger avalanches.... we just need to be connected to them. And you're probably thinking, it hasn't snowed and what little snow has fallen is light, fluffy, and doesn't feel very threatening. But we're thinking like a rider wanting fresh tracks, not like a snowpack that mirrors an upside-down cake. So let's think, stronger snow on weaker snow. And, if we're thinking like the snowpack we've gotta consider not only about the snow we're riding in, but also the snow we're riding on. Fact is, this type of layering leads to tricky avalanche conditions because our snowpack needs a trigger like us to roll along and knock the legs out from underneath. And yes, we can trigger slides from a distance or from adjacent slopes, and this is the type of avalanche dragon where we can pull the entire log pile down on top of us, even if we're playing on low angle terrain. All we need is to be connected to steep terrain above us. And once triggered, today's avalanches may break wider and deeper than you might expect
But you don't have to ride blind... so, tweak small test slopes, looking for and listening to signs of unstable snow like whoomping sounds and sudden collapses of the snowpack or shooting cracks in front of your skis, board, or sled. And of course the biggest clue of all... recent avalanches, especially on the same types of slopes you wanna ride on.
JG submitted a beautiful snow profile from his travels Wednesday which sums up the current structure of our snowpack. He's also got a great ob with some sage insight on how to travel given the sketchy conditions found here.
Avalanche Problem #2
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Wednesday we found that with a little coaxing, fresh wind drifts are big enough to knock you off your feet, taking you for a long and possibility unexpected ride downslope.
Recent winds have been all over the compass leaving some slopes resembling a moonscape, while other slopes look very inviting with a little fresh snow, camouflaging recent drifts, making them harder to detect. The most likely place we'll stumble onto recent drifts is on the leeward side of upper elevation ridges. But, since winds were all over the compass, terrain features like chutes and gullies may be cross-loaded and should be considered suspect. In either case, it's an easy and mostly manageable avalanche problem to avoid by simply steering clear of any fat, rounded piece of snow, particularly if it sounds hollow like a drum. And remember... our snowpack is super shallow and triggering even a small slide can take you for a body-bruising ride through rocks and stumps barely hidden under the thin snowpack.
Additional Information
Mark Staples teamed up and Ski-Doo athlete Steve Miller, and they had a great and very informative ride in the Whitney Basin. Whilst out and about, they remotely triggered a small slide on the way to investigating a large, moose triggered avalanche. In the viddy above they've got some great advice on how to ride when avalanche danger is elevated and snow depths lean.
I'll update this forecast by 7:00 AM tomorrow, Saturday January 2nd.
Your observations are import, so please let me know what you're seeing... click HERE and contribute to this amazing community based program
General Announcements
If you see or trigger an avalanche or just wanna let me know what you're seeing you can reach me directly at 801-231-2170 or [email protected]
The information in this forecast is from the US Forest Service which is solely responsible for its content.