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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Wednesday morning, March 26, 2025
The majority of the terrain on the Manti Skyline has a LOW to MODERATE danger rating and human triggered avalanches are not very likely.
A CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger still exists in very steep upper elevation terrain that faces north, northeast and east where there is still a slim chance that a person could trigger a deep and dangerous avalanche.
Avoidance is key as there is no sure way to determine which slopes are stable and which are not.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Temperatures on Tuesday reached into the 50s and cooled into the mid 30s overnight. Wind has been calm to light in speed and variable in direction. Riding conditions are typical springtime with frozen crusts in the morning soft during the day turning into very wet sloppy conditions late.
Mountain Weather: We will see temperatures once again into the 50s with mostly sunny skies. Wind will be from the southwest and generally light in speed. An odd little disturbance will move through late this afternoon that might produce a little rain or a few flakes of snow. Thursday is another warm sunny day then things cloud up a bit on Friday ahead of a weak storm that moves through on Saturday which could produce a few inches of snow.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
There is still a small chance of triggering a deep and dangerous avalanche today. Unfortunately, the most likely places to do this are the exact places we often find ourselves at this time of the season: upper elevation north through east facing steep terrain.
The majority of the slopes will stay in place. Some will release if provoked. You will not see any signs of danger. The snowpack will feel stable and "bomber". There is no way to tell which slopes will stay in place and which ones might release if you get onto them. All you can do is avoid that terrain. Or roll the dice.
Avalanche Problem #2
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The second thing to consider is wet snow activity. This generally does not pose much threat to people on the Skyline but here's what to consider:
  • When the snow gets REALLY wet and saturated, it can become unstable and start producing natural avalanches on very steep slopes.
  • People can also initiate avalanches when the snow gets really sloppy.
  • Simply avoid being on or below steep slopes later on in the day when the snow gets sloppy wet.
One main reason this isn't a huge threat to people is that often, travel conditions on skis, snowmobiles, and snowshoes are terrible when the snow gets that wet and sloppy and people usually aren't in avalanche terrain then anyway.
Additional Information
SKYLINE AVALANCHES & OBSERVATIONS
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INSTAGRAM: SKYLINE_AVALANCHE
FACEBOOK: SKYLINE AVALANCHE
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This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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