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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik for
Thursday, February 15, 2024
Today's storm won't impact the avalanche danger all that much.
The overall danger rating on the Skyline is rated MODERATE.
Human triggered avalanches are possible but not very likely.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Temperatures have been pretty steady over the last 24 hours with readings in the mid 20s. Wind has generally been light from the southwest. It's been just slightly breezy along the highest terrain.
Mountain Weather: We have a small storm moving through that will bump the southwest wind briefly this morning and should produce some snow. A few inches of new snow is about all I'm expecting by Friday. Temperatures will remain in the mid 20s. Another storm will pass by to our north on Sunday bringing only a trace of new snow to our mountains. It looks like next week might bring better looking storms for our area.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
At this point it seems pretty unlikely that a person will trigger an avalanche that breaks deep into weak snow from December. That said, there are many areas out there still where the snowpack remains quite weak.
  • Deeper snowpack areas (4 to 6 feet) = stronger snow
  • Shallower snowpack areas (less than 3 or 4 feet) = weaker snow
If you find your track dropping out from below you punching deep into sugar, you're probably in a shallower weaker snowpack and you should be on high alert.
Continue to use caution and be suspect of steep slopes where the snowpack is shallow and/or in rocky terrain.
Additional Information
SKYLINE AVALANCHES & OBSERVATIONS
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INSTAGRAM: SKYLINE_AVALANCHE
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This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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