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Forecast for the Salt Lake Area Mountains

Drew Hardesty
Issued by Drew Hardesty on
Monday morning, January 20, 2020
A MODERATE danger exists for sensitive human triggered wind drifts on many slopes at the mid and upper elevations. These shallow new wind drifts may be triggered at a distance, on approach, and may even pull out above you on the slope.
A MODERATE danger also exists on some localized slopes facing east to south to west that harbors a weak interface prior to Friday's storm.
Wet loose avalanches will still be possible in low and mid elevation wind-sheltered terrain, particularly if greenhousing occurs.

The Avalanche Conditions are much more dangerous in the Logan area mountains and the Western Uintas. Please consult their advisories if headed that way.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements
We are very sad to report an avalanche fatality from Saturday above Farmington Canyon. An 18 year old male snowmobiler was caught, fully buried and killed. Preliminary info available HERE. Our deepest condolences go out to the friends, family, rescuers, and everyone affected by this tragic accident.
Weather and Snow
Skies are mostly cloudy becoming overcast.
Temperatures are in the mid to upper 20s and warming.
Winds picked up out of the south/southeast overnight and are blowing 20-30mph with gusts to 35.

A weak wave moves through tonight that may offer a meager - if not high density - trace to two inches with another storm Tuesday into Wednesday that looks more promising (~5-10").
Today we'll be warm, windy, and overcast. Mountain temps will rise to the mid-30s or more with veering southwest winds averaging 25-30mph by late afternoon.
Snow surface conditions: soft settled powder on the northerly aspects...melt-freeze crusts on the east>south>west parts of the compass.
Feathers of 2-4mm surface hoar, formed over the weekend, were commonplace yesterday, but now will be destroyed by the wind, sitting intact in sheltered terrain, or sitting beneath shallow new wind drifts...just waiting for a trigger.
Surface hoar noted on nearly all aspects and elevations yesterday (Calder)
Recent Avalanches
The most significant avalanche reported yesterday was in Mill B South of Big Cottonwood Canyon.
The third of a party of three, while traversing high along the Mill B South and Mineral Fork ridgeline, triggered and was briefly caught and carried in an estimated 12-18" deep and 100' wide soft slab avalanche. The initial avalanche in turn sympathetically triggered a similar one, estimated to be 400' wide...and perhaps another one or more along the ridgeline heading north. These avalanches are on steep west to southwest facing slopes at 10,200'.
The failure plane most likely involves a facet/crust combination formed Wednesday/Thursday during the quick window of high pressure and survived the punishing pre-frontal southwest winds. (Photo 1, 2 - Sheehan)

In Banana Days of Big Cottonwood, a skier was reportedly chased down the steep, confined slope by cornice fall but was a non-event.

On a lower east facing slope on Grandview Peak in upper City Creek, a snowmobiler triggered a small soft slab avalanche.

Last but not least, direct sun and warming led to a number of wet loose sluffs on the steep sunny aspects. Some debris piles were big enough to bury a person

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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Shallow new drifts will be particularly sensitive and may be triggered at a distance today. These will be most pronounced on west to north to east facing slopes at the mid and upper elevations. The new drifts will be landing on a variety of weak snow surfaces across the compass. Remember that avalanches involving buried surface hoar often run on lower angle slopes. Mid-slope and mid-elevation ridgelines will be every bit as suspect as the usual steep upper elevations...if not more so. Example photo below from Jonathan Cracroft from a few years ago.
CORNICE: Several days of strong winds have created large and sensitive cornices along the exposed ridgelines. Large cornices often collapse and break much further back than expected, so be sure to give them a wide berth when traveling along the exposed ridgelines.
Avalanche Problem #2
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The outlier. I suspect that the Mill B South avalanche is more the exception than the rule but I feel it probably involves a facet/crust structure from last Wed/Thurs. While nearly everything else in the range was skiied/ridden with impunity yesterday, this avalanche warrants great attention and respect. East to south to west facing slopes must be investigated individually to determine if this unstable layering exists. Again, these are unusual avalanches on unusual aspects for us here in the Wasatch.
Hopefully we will have this avalanche investigated today.
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.