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Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Dave Kelly
Issued by Dave Kelly on
Saturday morning, March 30, 2024
Today, the avalanche danger will start out at MODERATE on all aspects and elevations for new and wind-drifted snow. There is a LOW avalanche danger in lower elevation terrain. The avalanche danger could rise to CONSIDERABLE throughout the day with increased snowfall and wind.
The travel advice for today is to use careful snowpack evaluation and cautious route finding. Avalanches travel in packs, so if you see signs of instability, it is time to back off and choose lower angle terrain.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Currently, under overcast skies light snow is falling. We have had 3"-5" new snow with .30"-.50" water overnight. Temperatures are in the low 30's °F. Winds at the 9,000' ridge-lines are blowing from the southwest in the low 30's gusting to the 40's MPH.
Today, skies will be overcast, temperatures should be 37-40°F, with winds blowing from the south-southwest 20 gusting to 40MPH at the lower ridge-lines and 35 gusting to 45 MPH at the highest ridge-lines. Look for 3"-5" of snow with .30"-.55" of water and more snow. The freezing level will hover around 7,000' and we could see mixed precipitation below this elevation with a 10% chance of lightning.
Our partners at the National Weather Service have issued a Winter Weather Advisory from now until 600PM on Saturday March 30th read the forecast discussion HERE.
Recent Avalanches
Yesterday, snow safety teams at local resorts reported shallow soft slabs and dry loose avalanches in the morning with wet loose avalanches in the afternoon.

Check out all avalanches and observations HERE.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Moderate to strong winds overnight have created sensitive soft slabs of wind-drifted snow at the mid and upper elevations. Avalanches involving wind-drifted snow may be over 12"-16" deep and up to 150' wide.

Sensitive cornices can be found along many exposed ridgelines at the mid and upper elevations. Avoid traveling on or below corniced ridgelines as a cornice collapse could trigger a new or wind-drifted snow avalanche.
Avalanche Problem #2
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Triggering an avalanche involving sluffing or soft slabs of new snow is possible on all steep slopes.
Now that we are towards the end of March if any sun comes out at all expect to see rapid heating of the snow surface and new dry loose avalanches quickly turning to wet loose avalanches. With a freezing level hovering around 7,000' wet loose new snow avalanches are possible and areas that did not have a good refreeze overnight are more susceptible to wet snow avalanches throughout the day; particularly if we see rain on snow.
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.