New snow overnight was at least 8 inches and in the early morning hours the riding was good in right side up light density snow. By 1030 there was a noticeable density inversion due to the high PI rates from 0700 on. Riding in the mid to late afternoon was much slower and thick due to a combination of graupel and the winds.
The first avalanche cycle appeared to be a Storm Slab Problem that was reactive due to a density change from the overnight light density snow to the Heavy PI rates in the mid morning hours. These slides appeared to be 6 to 8 inches deep and many were observed in more protected terrain in the Lower Mary Chutes areas on aspects ranging from N, NE and E. The second cycle appeared to have been reactive around 1030, and this problem was more likely a Persistent Slab issue. Multiple naturals were observed on the Lower Dog Lake Ridge, and both the Dog Lake Chute number 1 and number 2. The aspects involved were NE, E and SE; and these appeared to be running on the old snow/new snow interface in NSF's that were buried by the initial 5 inches that fell on Wednesday night. These slides were running pretty far on the old m/f pre-storm crust surface. The third cycle was previously described and noted as the Pioneer Main Chute natural and it most likely was not an isolated event. It appeared to be a Persistent Slab Problem aided by cross loading from the intense NW afternoon winds. At 2000 hours it appears that these winds are still active at upper elevations, though they appear to have subsided at the mid to lower elevations.
The winds were active as previously noted and getting into protected mid elevation terrain. This problem may be decreasing by Sunday at mid elevations, but the upper elevations may still be of concern despite not exhibiting the reactivity and sensitivity observed on Saturday.
The overall danger on Saturday appeared to be a solid Considerable, and there may have been heightened periods of High around 1500 and later as observed by the large natural in the Pioneer Main Chute.
If the winds die down and stay in the Light range, and up until later on Sunday when the new snow begins to accumulate the danger may descend to a high consequence Moderate. Without the presence of naturals as aided by the Saturdays intense winds, widespread avalanche activity may briefly subside. Regardless, we appear to be at a tipping point where the risk of triggering large slides may still be a reality.
