Observation: East Side of Geyser Pass

Observation Date
2/20/2025
Observer Name
Maggie Nielsen + Kevin Franke
Region
Moab » East Side of Geyser Pass
Location Name or Route
Geyser Pass Road/Near Blue Lake
Weather
Sky
Scattered
Weather Comments
The weather was quite variable up there today with shifting wind directions, changing temps, and intermittent precip. We started out with obscured skies (~30F) and some light snowfall with light winds out of the NE. The clouds broke and we had about 45 minutes of warm, sunny conditions during the time when we dug our pit. The skies became obscured again, the ceiling dropped (~11,000'), wind blew from the SW, and by 12:30 the snow started flying again (this time at a moderate rate with graupel and mixed precip particles) only to stop again after about 30 minutes. We saw only ~1-2cm of accumulation throughout our travels on the East Side of the range. As we came down from the mountains, we observed dark, low-lying cumulus clouds approaching the mountains from the West, which looked promising for more snowfall.
Snow Characteristics
New Snow Depth
3"
New Snow Density
Low
Snow Surface Conditions
Powder
Snow Characteristics Comments
It appeared that a few inches had fallen and covered the road on our travels up from the Winter TH on snow machines. As we traveled through Geyser Pass to the East side of the range, we were greeted with a lot of deep, mostly unsupportable snow. We found ourselves punching all the way to the bottom of the snowpack at times with not only our boots, but with the snow machine tracks. We did stop to dig a pit and found some things that certainly caused alarm. Most notably, a very reactive slab near the surface of the snowpack. We experienced a notable collapse in a small meadow when we stopped our machines close together and also noted cracks propagating around our snowshoes as we stomped around to recover our powder-hungry machines. The snow depth was incredibly varied in our travels and we noted depths from 55cm to 125cm in sheltered meadows. We also observed somewhat recent avalanche debris that had crossed the road on Mellenthin's Eastern flanks in multiple areas. We also noted old roller balls on Southeasterly, sun-exposed slopes.
Red Flags
Red Flags
Cracking
Collapsing
Poor Snowpack Structure
Red Flags Comments
The red flags are out there and while it keeps my terrain choices conservative, it makes for exciting snow science observations. Collapsing- yep, we had it in flat meadows. Cracking - also had it often around our feet and machine skis. Finally, the snowpack structure continues to be horrendous, though we did note some strengthening in the basal facets of our snow pit. While a poor snowpack structure isn't unusual for our sweet mountains, this year's snowpack is particularly scary.
Avalanche Problem #1
Problem
Persistent Weak Layer
Trend
Same
Problem #1 Comments
We've got the wrong-side up kind of snowpack structure. I've got concern now as well for the most recent interfaces we saw in our pit near the snow surface.
Snow Profile
Aspect
East
Elevation
10,400'
Slope Angle
35°
Comments
I have been wondering if this will be one of those winters with a slow start and a strong spring. Will March and April bring us a lot of snow and avalanches? Happy to be back out in the snowy environments with the ol' leg back in service.
Today's Observed Danger Rating
Considerable
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
Considerable
Coordinates