Observation: Gold Basin

Observation Date
2/3/2025
Observer Name
Garcia
Region
Moab » Gold Basin
Location Name or Route
Lower Exxon's to Lower Showoff
Weather
Sky
Scattered
Wind Direction
Southwest
Wind Speed
Moderate
Weather Comments
Very warm. Highs at 10,000' in the mid-40s and 34° F at 11,700'. Wind in the valley bottoms was light to moderate.
Snow Characteristics
Snow Surface Conditions
Faceted Loose
Wind Crust
Damp
Snow Characteristics Comments
Northerlies were a mix of faceted loose alternating with wind crusts. The surface snow on solars was damp in the afternoon.
Red Flags
Red Flags
Collapsing
Rapid Warming
Poor Snowpack Structure
Red Flags Comments
I set out to look for signs of wet avalanche activity. We have had two nights without a refreeze, and it looks like we will have a third tonight.
Avalanche Problem #1
Problem
Wet Snow
Trend
Increasing Danger
Problem #1 Comments
The snow on northerly aspects near treeline and below is very weak and faceted. We are experiencing above average temperatures for this time of year. I was curious about the potential for wet slab activity on these slopes. In my travels today I found the snow on low elevation northerlies to be cold and dry, with no signs for potential wet activity. I found very weak snow on a north facing slope at 10,310'. See the video below.
I also looked at a SW facing slope at 10,270' below Showoff. I found the surface snow was moist. I could easily make a snowball with this snow, but water was not visible, and I could not squeeze any water out of the snow. It is obvious this snow has gained some density from the sunshine and warm temperatures, but so far it is not alarming. I observed no roller balls or other signs of wet activity today. By tomorrow, loose wet activity could develop on steep rocky solar aspects, but these slides will be small, confined to the surface snow, and somewhat isolated. I don't think you will get into too much trouble on solars tomorrow as long as you pay attention to the moisture content of the surface snow. The snow below the surface remains cold and dry, with no danger yet for wet slab activity. The trend for loose wet will continue to increase as long as temperatures stay warm. It looks like things will cool down after Thursday.
I experienced a small collapse in a flat meadow around 10,200'. Here the surface snow had taken on some heat from the sun and warm temperatures. The surface snow is just slightly more cohesive than the weak, cold facets directly below it. This is illustrated in the photo below. In some places, the surface snow will continue to gain cohesion as long as temperatures stay warm.
Today's Observed Danger Rating
Low
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
Low
Coordinates