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Observation: Alexander Basin

Observation Date
2/28/2023
Observer Name
Jiricko, Zebrack, Sandweiss
Region
Salt Lake » Mill Creek Canyon » Alexander Basin
Location Name or Route
Millcreek Canyon Road and Alexander Basin
Red Flags
Red Flags
Wind Loading
Cracking
Poor Snowpack Structure
Avalanche Problem #1
Problem
Wind Drifted Snow
Trend
Increasing Danger
Problem #1 Comments
As our party was skinning up the Millcreek Canyon Road on our way to Alexander Basin, we found a nice test slope to jump on near Elbow Fork. It was clearly wind loaded, with a cornice at the top. Upon skinning across, we got a wind slab to propagate across most of the small test slope. Interestingly, the slope was west facing, and was loaded despite the winds coming mostly from the SW and NW during this most recent storm. It was also reasonably sheltered by trees, at the bottom of the canyon, and at a low elevation (6700'). We took all of this to mean that the current wind loading is widespread and variable, and instability can happen everywhere right now, even in places you might not normally expect it.
Curiously, we found no other no reactive wind slabs as we gained elevation up Wilson Glades, up to (9000'). (We did not make it all the way to the top). There was some evidence of wind transport, but no noticeable wind slab structure for the rest of the tour, besides this test slope (pictured below). I suspect the wind slab avalanche problem will become increasingly dangerous, large and reactive with tonight's new snow and wind.
Avalanche Problem #2
Problem
New Snow
Trend
Increasing Danger
Problem #2 Comments
We did not notice any shooting cracks, or experience any collapsing from storm slab avalanche problems in Millcreek canyon today. We saw one very small (25' x 25'), and shallow natural storm slab that seemed to be from late last night or early this morning. This natural storm slab was an isolated pocket did not propagate into well connected avalanche terrain. We saw one loose sluff avalanche, I was surprised we did not see more natural loose sluffs in ther steeper terrain.
We did notice two structural instabilities within the new storm snow. Neither of these weak layers had enough of a cohesive slab sitting on top to cause any propagation. We found an obvious a graupel layer within the new snow that we first identified at 7000', and was present all the way up to 9000'. (It may very well be present above and below those elevations, we just noticed it there.)
At the base of the Alexander basin (7200'), there was 8" of storm snow sitting on a sun crust. The distinct graupel layer was right in the middle of this new snow, 4" from the snow surface. The storm snow on top of the graupel was 4" of unconsolidated pow, and was not slabby enough to produce any results on a shovel tilt test.
At the base of Wilson Glades (8300'), we dug a NW facing pit. The graupel layer was still present, 5" below the surface. We got the graupel layer to fail on the first hit of a compression test (CT1) with Q3 shear quality. When we performed an ECT, we got ECTN8 on a density change within the new snow, 8" down with a Q3 shear.
Finally, we performed two shovel tilt tests at this pit location, wanting to see how the graupel layer and the density change layer would react. On the first test, we had failure on both graupel and density change layer with easy taps, Q3 shears. On the second shovel tilt test, we only had a failure on the density change layer after a couple light taps. This last shovel tilt test was interesting because the shear quality was Q2. With a more cohesive storm or wind slab sitting on top, I suspect this density change layer (8" down) has the possibility to fail and propagate (See video).
I suspect the storm slab avalanche problem will become increasingly dangerous, large and reactive with tonight's new snow, especially given the snowpack structure described above.
Comments
Overall, we did not see a ton of widespread instability with storm or wind slab. Granted, we were in lots of low elevation and sheltered terrain. The weak layer structure seems to be in place for a natural avalanche cycle tomorrow if we get enough of a slab on top of the graupel weak layer, or density change weak layer.
Video
Today's Observed Danger Rating
High
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
High
Coordinates