What a start to the winter!!!! New snow falling on bare dirt!!!! This setup is a dream come true. I dug four holes at the upper elevations today and found no faceted snow (weak old snow). However, I did find a snowpack structure that is set up for avalanches. To make an avalanche, we need four things:
1. Steep enough slope to slide (greater than 30° in steepness)
2. Weak layer (softer snow with stronger snow above)
3. Slab (stronger snow above softer snow)
4. Trigger (me, you, explosive, heavy snow, wind, etc.)
As seen in my snowpit, we are not out of the woods just yet. We have the right snowpack set up for avalanches. Strong snow, over weaker snow, is never good. I was very tempted to drop into an NE facing slope at 10,000' (see picture 2) today. As I drooled over how good it looked, I reminded myself - it's a long season, this new snow issue and will settle out quickly, we are in good shape for riding bigger lines, and today I don't want to get hurt if I am wrong. Oh, yeah, it's still shallow, and rocks are a concern.
Our snowpack is off to a great start for the 2020 winter season. The simple fact is that the new snow is a poor snowpack structure and shouldn't be trusted just yet. In a couple of days, this instability will settle out, and I think avalanches will be a thing of the past... At least until the next storm.