Biggest concern is recent wind drifts, some of which may now be buried by Sunday storm snow. We were not in wind-affected terrain today, but did spend the time digging down to the old snow surface prior to the onset of snow on Saturday Feb 3. On Monday Feb 5 I was finding the preserved facets and surface hoar at the old snow surface to be quite reactive to stability tests. This faceted layer is now down 60-100 cms. However, over the past 6 days, the faceted layer is gaining strength, and stability tests on Friday in Mineral Fork and today in Red Pine/Maybird were at best ECTN (no propagation with extended column), mostly failing within recent storm snow, or occasionally at faceted layer. Video below is discussion of snowpack at 9400' in Red Pine Gulch.
Avalanche danger was Moderate where we were traveling today - wind-sheltered mid elevations. But Considerable in upper elevations as well as mid elevations that have been wind-loaded. If storm comes in on high end of forecast (in excess of 30 cms/12") with wind, easy to see hazard as High on Monday.
Today's Observed Danger Rating
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
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