UDOT PLANNED AVALANCHE CLOSURES!!

Observation: Moab

Observation Date
12/21/2015
Observer Name
Dave Garcia
Region
Moab
Location Name or Route
Horse Creek
Weather
Sky
Obscured
Precipitation
Light Snowfall
Wind Direction
Southwest
Wind Speed
Light
Weather Comments
Partly cloudy skies and a bit of sunshine in the early morning quickly gave way to cloudy skis. Light snow started falling around 2 PM. Winds were light out of the southwest.
Snow Characteristics
New Snow Depth
6"
New Snow Density
Low
Snow Surface Conditions
Powder
Dense Loose
Snow Characteristics Comments
6 inches of light density snow made for great skiing. The new snow is not very cohesive and only saw the sun for a short while early this morning. Not great for making snowballs. Temps remained cold keeping the density light. This new snow could possibly become a weak layer under the expected snowfall tonight and tomorrow.
Red Flags
Red Flags
Wind Loading
Poor Snowpack Structure
Red Flags Comments
The usual slopes continue to be wind loaded. Poor snowpack structure still remains when you get on northerly aspects. A pit on a mid elevation NW aspect revealed persistent weak layers.
Avalanche Problem #1
Problem
Wind Drifted Snow
Trend
Same
Problem #1 Comments
On saturday, I watched tracks that were 12 inches deep become totally filled in, in just a few hours on an upper elevation NW facing slope. Loaded slopes are upper elevation NW and mid to upper N through E. The winds were light today, but the new snow is light density and is still being transported.
Avalanche Problem #2
Problem
Persistent Weak Layer
Trend
Same
Problem #2 Comments
Slowly worked my way from SW slopes over to NW slopes today. The persistent weak layer that I described last weak on a NNE aspect is also present on NW facing slopes. This layer is not as active on the NW slopes, but is still of concern. See the snow profile comments below for more info on this.
Snow Profile
Aspect
Northwest
Elevation
11,000'
Slope Angle
45°
Comments
So the persistent weak layer from last week is still there as seen in the snow profile. It was harder to trigger today, failed at CT26 Q3, and did not fail at all on extended column. So the layer is not as reactive, I think there's a few reasons for this. First of all it has had more time to adjust to it's load. The size of the grains making up the layer on this aspect are smaller than I saw on the NNE aspect. The NW aspect has less of a temperature gradient than the NNE. This is easily seen when both profiles are compared to each other. The smaller grains are more well bonded to the layers above and below, even when it did fail, it was not a clean break at all. So for today I deemed this aspect and elevation good to go, we will see what happens with the forecast snow, should put a good load on it.
Today's Observed Danger Rating
Moderate
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
Considerable