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Observation: Primrose Cirque

Observation Date
4/7/2014
Observer Name
Joey Dempster
Region
Provo » Provo Canyon » Timpanogos » Primrose Cirque
Location Name or Route
Aspen Grove - Primrose, UFO Bowls
Weather
Sky
Clear
Weather Comments
Warm, calm, and sunny, as forecasted.
Snow Characteristics
Snow Surface Conditions
Powder
Wind Crust
Melt-Freeze Crust
Damp
Snow Characteristics Comments
I started up Primrose with the intention of gaining the summit ridge. However, when approaching the steep passages through the cliff bands that guard upper Primrose, I encountered sensitive cross-loaded wind slabs about 8-12 inches thick. They did not crack when stepped on gingerly (since I was approaching from below I didn't pound on them), but they did crack and slide easily when isolated or cut out. They didn't seem super sensitive, but in high consequence terrain and being alone, I opted to retreat and try a different route. I then headed around to the north, up Back of Bob's and Coyote Ridge, heading for 10233 again, thinking that the ridge would be free of drifts. Although I found wind deposited snow, it was not as deep and could be ascended safely. While ascending the ridge, I was treated to a view of several large wet slides off the usual paths on Robert's Horn and East Peak, right on schedule at noon. Once I reached the summit of 10233, I found some interesting evidence of recent natural slab avalanches on the high ridges, and most apropos, in upper Primrose, that confirmed for me that my decision to retreat was a good one. All of these avalanches appeared to be in wind deposition zones. Pictures below. S facing slopes, even at 10,000 feet, felt wet and unstable by noon. Since this is the first warm day at altitude, I would give steep upper elevation south facing slopes a few days to melt and freeze before testing them. In the meantime, N faces are still very stable and skiable. These N facing slopes will probably finally develop a zipper crust tonight, but it shouldn't be too bad and will become merely damp again by mid day tomorrow. Mid elevation south facing slopes are already in fine shape for corn skiing. The big question for accessing upper elevation terrain tomorrow will be the stability of the wind loaded gullies that I found. They will certainly heal quickly in the warm temps, and they are localized, and will not propagate beyond the wind deposited snow. A ride on one of these slides would be relatively benign unless it carried a person over a cliff (which is, of course, quite possible in Primrose). So I think that a competent party with high risk tolerance, observing strict travel protocols, could navigate them successfully (and by successfully, I mean they could "get away with it"). Personally, however, I'd give it another day.
Red Flags
Red Flags
Wind Loading
Rapid Warming
Red Flags Comments
Wind slabs from Sunday were still active today. A fairly large wet slide cycle occurred around noon today on Timp, and I would expect another tomorrow around the same time, or earlier.
Comments
This is a close up photo of the wind deposited snow. It is easily identifiable by sight, and it is classic "styrofoam" texture. In this picture, I have cut out the bottom of a miniature slab with my left ski, then when I stepped above with my right ski, a crack propagated from top to bottom and the mini slab popped out energetically. This is what prompted me to turn around.
This is a photo of the Timpanogos Summit Ridge around Bomber Peak (between the North Peak and Timp Saddle). It shows two slab avalanche crowns. The photo quality does not permit the crowns to be seen clearly.
This photo shows the E face of Robert's Horn, with a recent slab avalanche crown visible just below the ridge where Sunday's winds loaded snow.
This photo shows the avalanche that ran in one of the gullies in upper Primrose in wind loaded snow. Wet avalanche debris is also visible in the foreground, but the avalanche marked on the photograph was a wind slab (it started in the shadows, and with the naked eye, the crown was clearly visible). The type of wind-loaded snow that probably produced this avalanche is present on many of the slopes in upper Primrose, and is unavoidable if one wishes to gain the top of the Cirque.
Today's Observed Danger Rating
Moderate
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
Moderate