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Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Nikki Champion
Issued by Nikki Champion on
Monday morning, March 17, 2025
There is CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger in upper-elevation terrain, where strong winds and soft snow have created dangerous avalanche conditions. Human-triggered avalanches are likely in these areas, up to 1 feet deep and 150 feet wide.
The avalanche danger is MODERATE on other aspects and elevations, where natural avalanches are less likely, but human-triggered avalanches are still possible.
Be ready to adjust your tour plan based on your observations. Watch for wind-drifted snow at higher elevations and wet snow at mid and lower elevations. Limit exposure by having one person at a time on steep slopes (greater than 30°), and always be mindful of those below you.
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Moderate
Considerable
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Weather and Snow
This morning, skies are overcast, with temperatures ranging from the low 30s to low 40s°F. Winds are coming from the southwest at 15-25 MPH, gusting into the 40s at lower ridgelines, and 25-40 MPH, gusting into the 60s and 70s at higher ridgelines. Winds even gusted up to 80 MPH overnight.
Today, skies will be partly sunny, with temperatures rising into the low 40s°F. Winds will continue from the southwest at 25-35 MPH, gusting up to 45 MPH at lower ridgelines, and 30-40 MPH gusting to 65 MPH at the highest peaks. Winds will remain elevated throughout the day, peaking early in the evening ahead of the incoming cold front.
A storm system will push a strong cold front into the area, bringing periods of moderate to heavy snow near and behind the front. Total storm snowfall is expected to range from 6-12 inches, with 0.50-1.0 inches of water from March 17 to March 19.

This time of year, the key is to get the new snow before the sun does, regardless of air temperatures.
Recent Avalanches
Yesterday, no new avalanches were reported in the Ogden area backcountry, but significant drifting snow and obvious transport were observed throughout the day, with cracking along ridgelines. Ski resorts also reported sensitive wind slabs and large cornices at upper-elevation ridgelines.

Check out all recent avalanches and observations HERE.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Winds have increased since yesterday morning in Ogden, with gusts reaching 80 mph on upper ridgelines and expected to remain strong throughout the day.
With some snow available for transport, these winds are rapidly building both soft and hard wind slabs. Expect these slabs to grow larger and more cohesive as the day progresses. While most noticeable on leeward north to east slopes, high winds can load any aspect and drift snow farther downslope than anticipated.
Use caution in steep terrain where drifting snow has accumulated. Watch for signs of instability such as cracking, collapsing, new cornice growth, or pillowy features. If you spot any of these, avoid traveling on or beneath wind-loaded slopes. Cornices are growing larger and are more likely to fail during high winds or warming temperatures—give them a wide berth.
Drifting snow and a growing cornice - Hardesty/Brandt
Avalanche Problem #2
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The March sun is strong. Regardless of air temperatures and wind speeds we could see wet loose avalanches, roof slides, and get a gloppy snow surfaces.
New snow, warm March sun, and longer days increase the likelihood of wet avalanches in the Ogden Region. These may start as dry snow but turn wet as they move downslope, especially on southerly slopes late morning to afternoon, and west-facing slopes later in the day. Timing is key—get off steep, sunlit slopes as they warm.

These are the kind of avalanches that may impact more than your group, so please be aware of who may be traveling below or above you while you're out and about. Even a small avalanche may entrain a lot of snow today.
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.