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Forecast for the Uintas Area Mountains

Craig Gordon
Issued by Craig Gordon on
Tuesday morning, March 16, 2021
In upper elevation terrain, especially in the wind zone at and above treeline, you'll find MODERATE avalanche danger on steep, wind drifted, leeward slopes and HUMAN TRIGGERED AVALANCHES ARE POSSIBLE. Steep, rocky terrain facing the north half of the compass remains suspect and while more the exception than the rule, any avalanche that breaks to weak layers of snow near the ground will result in a deep, dangerous avalanche that'll instantly ruin your day.
Lose the wind and you lose the problem-
Mid and low elevation, wind sheltered terrain offers generally LOW avalanche danger. Remember- low avalanche danger doesn't mean no avalanche danger, so please continue practicing your safe travel rituals and make sure you carry and know how to use your avalanche rescue gear.... transceiver, shovel, and probe.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Nowcast-
A band of under-forecast moisture parked over the region late last night, delivering a good shot of snow to the eastern front with 7" of medium density snow stacking up on the North Slope. About half that amount is found as you travel south of Trial Lake. Temperatures register in the teens and mid 20's while winds are light and variable, blowing just 10-15 mph even along the high peaks. Last nights fresh coat of white paint improves both riding conditions and spirits, and I suspect low angle terrain offers soft, surfy snow.
Forecast-
Snow showers continue throughout the morning and we should see a few more inches pile up before skies turn partly cloudy later today. Temperatures climb into the low 30's and winds remain light and reasonable, blowing into the 20's near the ridges.
Futurecast-
Dry and warmer for Wednesday through the end of the work week with unsettled weather on tap for the weekend.

Looking for real-time temps, snow, or wind?
Click here and then on the "western Uinta" tab for western Uinta specific, weather station network.
Recent Avalanches
Sunday's strong northeast winds moved a tremendous amount of snow around, leading to this small, yet rather connected natural avalanche on a steep, northerly slope in upper Chalk Creek. Longtime snow pro extraordinaire, Bill Nalli has thoughts and insights found HERE.

Observations, trip reports, and avalanches found here.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
There's plenty of fresh snow to work with and just a little bump in wind speed will form fresh drifts, sensitive to our additional weight. Complicating matters slightly are old stubborn drifts left over from the big weekend wind event which are now camouflaged under last nights fresh snow, making them harder to detect. In either case, this avalanche problem is easily managed with terrain choices. Lose a little elevation, you lose the problem, and you're rewarded with a great day of spring powder to boot!
Avalanche Problem #2
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
On Sunday, Micheal Davis and his crew rode near the Mirror Lake Highway and Reids Peak where they found stable snow and a good looking snowpack. Micheal has an excellent ob posted HERE.
The snowpack is getting comfortable in its own skin and that's good news in terrain where the snowpack is deep. However, snow is a curious medium and all we need to do is find one inconsistency or a shallow zone, maybe around a rock or bush, collapse the pack, and now we've got a bigger slide than we might've bargained for. So my safe travel strategy is to think about suspect terrain I want to continue avoiding and that includes steep, rocky terrain and slopes that avalanched near the ground earlier in the season. And here's something to consider... we've got a "go anywhere" base, so if you're getting into steep, technical terrain, remember that even a small slide can knock you off your ride, slam you into a tree, and throw a curve ball at your day.
Additional Information
I will update this forecast by 7:00 AM tomorrow, Wednesday, March 17th.
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General Announcements
If you see or trigger an avalanche or just wanna let me know what you're seeing you can reach me directly at 801-231-2170 or [email protected]
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.