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Forecast for the Provo Area Mountains

Evelyn Lees
Issued by Evelyn Lees on
Thursday morning, January 11, 2018

The Avalanche Danger is HIGH on steep, upper elevation slopes facing northerly through easterly, and CONSIDERABLE on mid elevation slopes. Large, wide, long running avalanches can be triggered on slope or remotely from below or from adjacent slopes. Avoid travel on and below all wind-drifted slopes. Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended.

Be very aware of other people near by in the backcountry - you would never would want to accidnetly trigger a slide onto a party below - by remotely triggering a slide or kicking a cornice.

Those with skills to identify and avoid avalanche terrain will find great riding and turning on low angle slopes less steep than about 30 degrees, which are not below steeper terrain.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements

Park City Ski resort is planning on explosive work in the Murdoc/High Peak area with an avalauncher, as well as in the Daybreak area, including Main Mac, La Frontera, Nutty Putty, and Fin. Backcountry travel is not allowed in these areas.

Episode 2 of the UAC podcast has been released. Check it out on ITunes, Stitcher, the UAC blog, or wherever you get your podcasts.

Weather and Snow

The storm wrapped up quickly yesterday afternoon and temperatures finally cooled to more wintery norms, and are in the low to mid 20s in the Provo area mountains. There are probably teens at the high elevations. The winds are brisk, from a westerly direction, in the 10 – 15 mph range, with gusts 20 mph. To the north, the highest peaks are averaging near 40 mph and gusting in the 50s from a westerly direction. One viewer thought there was significantly more snow at the north end of the Provo area mountains, such as on north Timp. A look at the storm totals – both snow and water:

Total Snow Total Water
Aspen Grove 6880' 2" 2.3"
Mid Mountain 7450' 1 to 2" 2.3"
Bunnels 8800' 5" 1.5"
Timp Divide snotel 8" 2"
Recent Avalanches

No new reports from the Provo area mountains. But these avalanches from the Cottonwoods and Park City ridgeline are probably similar to conditions at the mid and upper elevations of the Provo area mountains.

Lots of avalanches in the backcountry yesterday - a few naturals and many, many remotely triggered slides that averaged 1 1/2 to 2 feet deep and 100’ to 1000’ wide. Remotely triggered slides include 5 along the ridgeline from upper Days to the Silver Fork Headwall, in addition to No Name, West Monitor, Claytons, Twin Lakes Pass ridgeline, Radar Love and 10,420. The southeast face of Superior ran naturally to the willows. The resorts triggered large avalanche with explosives and ski cuts, with significant activity below 9,500’.

Deadly Conditions In The Utah Backcountry from Trent Meisenheimer on Vimeo.

Photos: Silver Fork Headwall, Mark Staples

No Name, Mark White

Ad
Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Most of the avalanches in the Salt Lake and Park City area mountains yesterday were failing on the uppermost layer of facets in the snowpack, and were 1 ½ to 2 feet deep, 100 to 1000’ wide, running all the way down to the flats. A few broke into the deeper weak layers, in shallow, rocky areas. There was significant activity at the upper elevations and the mid elevations below 9500’. Avalanches were triggered remotely from above, but can also be triggered from below and from the side.

It’s just plain dangerous out there - slopes that have not avalanched are hanging in balance, just waiting for a trigger. Many of yesterday’s avalanches broke well off ridgelines, meaning you can get out on to a slope, and have the slide break above you. Any slide you trigger on a steep slope today will be large enough to bury and kill you.

A note for the future: most of these avalanches are unfortunately leaving the deeper layers of large facets intact.

Avalanche Problem #2
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Wind was a key player yesterday – many avalanches occurred where wind had drifted snow onto the slope, providing the extra weight needed to tip the balance.

This morning, the west to northwesterly wind is strong at the upper elevations, and forecast to increase at the mid elevations later this afternoon and overnight. Avoid all steep, wind drifted slopes and travel beneath them.

Additional Information

A moist, northwest flow will keep skies mostly cloudy today, with light snow showers possible, especially this afternoon. An additional 1 to 3” of snow is possible. Temperatures will warm into the low 30s at 9,000’, and the northwesterly winds will increase this afternoon – averaging to 20 mph, with gusts to 35 at the mid elevations. High peaks will be gusting in the 50s. A few more inches of snow possible tonight into Friday.

General Announcements

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This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.